[FPSPACE] Boy hit by space rock !
Jens Kieffer-Olsen
dstdba at post4.tele.dk
Wed Jun 17 12:46:16 EDT 2009
That's simple enough.
If we are 6 bn people, then 60 of us should be hit, right?
6 bn divided by 100 mn = 60!
Assuming we live no more than 120 years anyone of us,
that means some guy should get hit every other year.
120 divided by 60 = 2!
If the figure was dealing with statistics on hits from asteroids
of all sizes including ELEs, then I must agree with Ed Grondine
that the statement is completely void of meaning.
What's the chance of finding one dollar in the street? If that chance
is calculated to include the statistical chance of finding a treasure
trove from the buccaneers or carpetbaggers, then it's a piece of
utterly useless information.
--
Jens Kieffer-Olsen
Slagelse, Denmark
-----Original Message-----
From: Rick Kline [mailto:kline at astro.cornell.edu]
Sent: Tuesday, June 16, 2009 8:42 PM
To: fpspace at friends-partners.org
Subject: Re: [FPSPACE] Boy hit by space rock !
Jens,
Sorry, I don't understand how you arrived at the "one hit every other year"
figure. Seem to be missing some data.
Rick
Jens Kieffer-Olsen wrote:
-----Original Message-----
From: John Locker [mailto:john at satcom.freeserve.co.uk]
Sent: Friday, June 12, 2009 1:35 PM
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/5/20090612/tod-boy-hit-by-meteorite-travelling-at-3
-870a197.html
John
From the above link:
"Chances of being struck by a meteorite are around one in 100 million"
Assuming a human population numbering 6 bn people, does that
translate into 60 people likely to be hit by a meteorite?
That's one hit every other year, isn't it?
--
Jens Kieffer-Olsen
Slagelse, Denmark
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Rick Kline
Data Manager, Spacecraft Planetary Imaging Facility
317 Space Sciences Building
Cornell University
Ithaca, NY 14853-6801
USA
e-mail: Phone: fax:
kline at astro.cornell.edu 607-255-3833 607-255-9002
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