[FPSPACE] Boy hit by space rock !

Jens Kieffer-Olsen dstdba at post4.tele.dk
Wed Jun 17 12:46:16 EDT 2009


That's simple enough.
 
If we are 6 bn people, then 60 of us should be hit, right?
6 bn divided by 100 mn = 60!
 
Assuming we live no more than 120 years anyone of us,
that means some guy should get hit every other year.
120 divided by 60 = 2!
 
If the figure was dealing with statistics on hits from asteroids
of all sizes including ELEs, then I must agree with Ed Grondine
that the statement is completely void of meaning.
 
What's the chance of finding one dollar in the street? If that chance
is calculated to include the statistical chance of finding a treasure
trove from the buccaneers or carpetbaggers, then it's a piece of
utterly useless information.
 
--
Jens Kieffer-Olsen
Slagelse, Denmark

-----Original Message-----
From: Rick Kline [mailto:kline at astro.cornell.edu] 
Sent: Tuesday, June 16, 2009 8:42 PM
To: fpspace at friends-partners.org
Subject: Re: [FPSPACE] Boy hit by space rock !


Jens,

Sorry, I don't understand how you arrived at the "one hit every other year"
figure. Seem to be missing some data.
Rick

Jens Kieffer-Olsen wrote: 

-----Original Message-----

From: John Locker [mailto:john at satcom.freeserve.co.uk] 

Sent: Friday, June 12, 2009 1:35 PM

 

  
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/5/20090612/tod-boy-hit-by-meteorite-travelling-at-3

-870a197.html

  

John 

    



 From the above link:

 "Chances of being struck by a meteorite are around one in 100 million"



 Assuming a human population numbering 6 bn people, does that

 translate into 60 people likely to be hit by a meteorite?



 That's one hit every other year, isn't it?



--

Jens Kieffer-Olsen

Slagelse, Denmark





 



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-- 



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   "Better to wave at a stranger than to ignore a friend."

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 Rick Kline

 Data Manager, Spacecraft Planetary Imaging Facility

 317 Space Sciences Building

 Cornell University

 Ithaca, NY   14853-6801

 USA



 e-mail:                     Phone:          fax:

 kline at astro.cornell.edu  607-255-3833    607-255-9002

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