[FPSPACE] Third time lucky?

[Sven Grahn]

This a funny Freudian slip - we all think about rocketeers. You must have meant Khrushchev and not Khrunichev!

Even so, I agree with you and Jim.

Sven
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Kosmos327 at aol.com 
  To: jameseoberg at comcast.net 
  Cc: fpspace at friends-partners.org 
  Sent: Sunday, April 05, 2009 10:22 PM
  Subject: Re: [FPSPACE] Third time lucky?


  I think you hit the nail right on the head, Jim. 

  In my mind I tried to associate Kim Jung-il with Khrunichev (make the military force appear bigger and badder than it really was), but that didn't work very well. Khrunichev had his reasons ... Kim Jung-il  is just nutts.

  The best analogy I can come up with is visualizing Kim Jung-il  as a man showing off his bravery, power, and talent by juggling 20 live Grenades at the same time. He does it well and thoroughly enjoys it, but someday he might accidentally pull the pin on one of them. Then all hell might break loose.

  Regards,

  David L. Rickman



  In a message dated 4/5/2009 4:00:01 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time, jameseoberg at comcast.net writes:
    Don't judge NorKorean thinking by external
    standards. As far as their population is concerned,
    both launches succeeded.

    Since they signed the UN Convention on Registration
    of Outer Space Objects recently, expect them to file a report
    on this faux-satellite shortly. Lying to the UN is a totally
    non-dangerous activity, particularly this Convention (both
    the USSR and the USA have already done it with immunity).

    Let's entertain the notion that neither launch -- 1998 or 2009 --
    carried a real third stage and satellite. It was all camouflage,
    say. There was a value to instilling confusion in the outside world.

    The missile tests went ahead, successfully. Overflight of Japan
    was tolerated under the ambiguity of 'space exploration', as
    was the intent.

    Military missile test objectives were fully satisfied by a trajectory
    that emulated a typical earth satellite ascent, at no real cost for
    the pretense, with the payoff that it contributed to outsider confusion...

    ...Interpreting these events using tools that worked on Soviet and Chinese
    mystery missions has led to frustration and bafflement. It's possible that
    this bafflement is intentionally engineered by clever rocket strategists
    who fully understand the analysis techniques to be applied to their
    own project -- and moved to subvert them through subterfuge.

    Sound crazy? I suggest that our 'classical' approach to this subject
    matter has been too unimaginative, too by-the-cookbook, and not
    nearly 'crazt enough'! It certainly hasn't shown any success at
    providing usable insights or predictive value, so far as I can see.


    ----- Original Message ----- 
    From: "Zeger" <dokter.nuyens at pandora.be>
    To: <fpspace at friends-partners.org>
    Sent: Sunday, April 05, 2009 12:33 PM
    Subject: [FPSPACE] Third time lucky?


    > It must be particularly aggravating for NK and its Great Leader (and a
    > very anxious moment for NK rocket people) to know Iran succeeded right
    > away with their technology. Luck is unpredictable and Kim Jung-il can't
    > change that.
    >
    > Zeger Nuyens
    > _______________________________________________
    > FPSPACE mailing list
    > FPSPACE at friends-partners.org
    > http://www.friends-partners.org/mailman/listinfo/fpspace




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