[FPSPACE] Burnt Frost starts to melt.. .!

[John Locker]

Thanks for that insight.......

1)  I'm sure the off chance that some Peruvian nomad "might" get vaporized 
by a wayward ice cube doesn't merit $100 million (Apologies to any Peruvian 
list members )

2) As a hand-waving non-expert I bow to your superior knowledge

3) "how DARE thePentagon expose the entire world to such unacceptable 
hazards?" .....  Governments do that every day , this time they just got 
found out !

4)  I think the figures speak for themselves . .....but again...as a 
hand-waving non-expert ... etc.



Stay cool  !  :O)

John



----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Jim Oberg" <jeoberg at comcast.net>
To: "John Locker" <john at satcom.freeserve.co.uk>; 
<fpspace at friends-partners.org>
Sent: Friday, August 22, 2008 5:55 PM
Subject: Re: [FPSPACE] Burnt Frost starts to melt.. .!


>
> .. nor does anyone automatically believe 'experts' on news media
> rolladexes but on left-wing (or right-wing, very rarely!) lobby group
> 'think tanks'....
>
> Fortunately, in space technology, we have a transparent and unforgiving
> environment
> with which to compare ideas.
>
> And that environment persuades me that:
>
> 1. The chance of human fatality in this case has been calculated in
> different ways and from different starting points and is in the
> 2,000 to 4,000 chances per 100,000, which compares to the
> international standard of mitigation required for anything greater
> than 1 in 100,000.
>
> 2. The likelihood of a frozen hydrazine tank surviving to ground
> impact is very, very high, and hand-waving non-experts with
> pre-determined agendas have nothing credible to contribute
> to this issue.
>
> 3. Failure to take countermeasures would have received just as loud whines
> from
> the same critics, with the arithmetic sign simply reversed -- how DARE the
> Pentagon expose the entire world to such unacceptable hazards?
>
> 4. Absence of injuries in the past was NOT due to dependence on
> favorable odds, it was in large measure due to active mitigation,
> especially of heavy payloads being deorbited deliberately, and
> those who argue 'from history' that past results prove NO mitigation
> was needed THIS time are relying on their own ignorance and that of their
> target audience.
>
> ... among other tentative conclusions.
>
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "John Locker" <john at satcom.freeserve.co.uk>
> To: <fpspace at friends-partners.org>
> Sent: Friday, August 22, 2008 11:38 AM
> Subject: Re: [FPSPACE] Burnt Frost starts to melt.. .!
>
>
>>I dont have an issue Jim , just showing a healthy scepticism , after all
>> no-one believes everything a government tells them.....do they ?
>>
>> ....And it seems from the responses here
>>
>> http://informationdissemination.blogspot.com/2008/08/shooting-down-satellite-prudent-public.html
>>
>> I am not alone.
>>
>
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