[FPSPACE] Long March 5 to launch in 2013

[Keith Gottschalk]

Dear Anatoly,

  alas, all too true!  Dwayne Day was often making the point that
stretching out a programme means that you double the same salary and
storage expenses for the same number of launches.

   The best we can hope for is that one of the twelve men who landed on
the Moon will still be alive in a wheelchair in some old-age home, by
the time that we have a resumption of human pesence on the Moon. Next
time for keeps.

- Keith

>>>> <agzak at optonline.net> 11/21/07 2:59 PM >>>
>Keith:
>
>Always love your thought-provoking comments. I suspect that Chinese
space program is still probably a subject to law of 
>economics, which states that flying less frequently does not make it
cheaper and, in fact, it makes it more expensive. That's 
>why one Saturn V mission in two years was perhaps even less
sustainable than two or four per year.
>
>
>Anatoly Zak
>http://www.russianspaceweb.com 
>
>
>
>----- Original Message -----
>From: Keith Gottschalk 
>Date: Wednesday, November 21, 2007 7:29 am
>Subject: [FPSPACE] Long March 5 to launch in 2013
>To: FPSpace 
>
>> >>>> Paolo Ulivi 11/20/07 9:50 PM >>>
>> >The slow pace of the Chinese space program is always amazing!
>> 
>> Well, since Feng Jishen invented the rocket in 970 AD, it seems to
>> have picked up a little!
>> 
>> Better slow but steady rather than any more Apollo boom-&-
>> busts. If
>> NASA had continued to send even merely one Saturn 5 per two 
>> years to the
>> Moon after 1972, we would never have seen the loony Apollo
denialist
>> conspiracy theory website. Those kids were not yet out of high
school
>> when the last crew of three returned. ISRO has a similar
>> decade-by-decade plan. 
>> 
>> So by 2013 LM5 brings a Chinese equivalent to Proton, or the
>> heaviest-lift variants yet proposed for Ariane 5, Atlas 5, & 
>> Delta 4. No
>> one is yet going back to a Saturn 5 class launcher, unless Ares 
>> gets all
>> its budget.
>> 
>> - Keith
>> 
>
>
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