[FPSPACE] SpaceShipOne's 3rd flight
Constantine Domashnev
cdomashnev at acm.org
Tue Oct 5 13:36:44 EDT 2004
Keith,
There are no sound facts/figures attesting to a belief that there is a
commercially sustainable sub-orbital tourism market.
There is someone's intuition (aka gut feeling) that there is, and which does
not have to be shared by skeptical observers. And that's about it.
What is then the point of debating a point without facts; of a debate based
on just ideas and doctrines? It cannot establish the truth or even come up
with a ballpark Success' likelihood estimate, right? And it may be easily
taken to the point when we argue whether the Son commands the Holy Spirit or
not.
--
Constantine
----- Original Message -----
From: "Keith Gottschalk" <kgottschalk at uwc.ac.za>
To: <fpspace at friends-partners.org>
Sent: Tuesday, October 05, 2004 12:39 PM
Subject: [FPSPACE] SpaceShipOne's 3rd flight
>Good point. Practice is the criterion of truth.
>> Keith:
>>
>> If Branson's venture goes bankrupt, then there is no need for a debate,
>> is
>> there?
>>
>> This is like debating the weather tomorrow. Better to just wait. > DWA
Goodness me! Lots of FPSPACE discussion is excited debate about what
will happen in future, or its probability, while we wait for it to happen.
Surely it is interesting to try to weigh up Branson's chanes of bringing
Virgin Galactic scheduled flights to fruition or not?
Surely it is interesting to debate whether his business rivals might
succeed? Will it start off with monthly or weekly flights? Will it be two or
ten passengers in the successor of SpaceShipOne?
This ought to be rather easier than understanding the finer points of
quantum theory :)
- Keith
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