[FPSPACE] A Russian on STS-100... (second posting)
C. van den Berg
kkees@worldonline.nl
Mon, 31 Jul 2000 16:01:37 +0200
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I predicted AVDEYEV on STS-100. Rex Hall came with a very interesting =
speculation. I quote: "it is about turns and I think it might be the Air =
Forces turn this time around."
This is quite an interesting theory. Rex is right: it is maybe no =
coincidence that civilians and military men change seats each time =
around:
Feb. 94 -- STS-60: Krikalyov - civilian
Nov. 94 -- STS-63: Titov - air force
June 95 -- STS-71: Budarin - civilian + Solovyov - air force
May 97 -- STS-84: Kondakova - civilian
Sep 97 -- STS-86: Titov - air force
Nov 98 -- STS-88: Krikalyov - civilian (originally scheduled for Dec 97 =
!)
Jan 98 -- STS-89: Sharipov - air force
June 98 --STS-91: Ryumin - civilian
May 99 -- STS-96: Tokarev - air force
May 00 --STS-101: Usachyov -- civilian
Sep 00 --STS-106: Malenchenko -- air force + Morukov -- civilian
STS-100: air force
But: the crew on STS-101 was reassigned on the inserted mission STS-106. =
So the scheme was originally as follows:
STS-96: Tokarev - air force (was originally Malenchenko -- also air =
force !!)
STS-101: Morukov -- civilian + Malenchenko -- air force
STS-100: civilian
And if we look at the numbering and not (expected) launchdates:
STS-96: air force
STS-100: civilian
STS-106: air force + civilian
This brings the chance for a civilian to 66.7% and 33.3% for air =
force... So, whose turn is it this time? It could be a civilian or a =
military man. Rex said that two possible people are Zalyotin and Kotov. =
Both have been based at Houston previously. However, I stay with the =
civilian AVDEYEV. What I didn't tell is that I've been wrong every time =
I predicted a Russian crewmember on STS... We'll see...
Kees van den Berg
Gemini Productions.
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<DIV>I predicted AVDEYEV on STS-100. Rex Hall came with a very =
interesting=20
speculation. I quote: "it is about turns and I think it might be the Air =
Forces=20
turn this time around."</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>This is quite an interesting theory. Rex is right: it is maybe no=20
coincidence that civilians and military men change seats each time =
around:</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Feb. 94 -- STS-60: Krikalyov - civilian</DIV>
<DIV>Nov. 94 -- STS-63: Titov - air force</DIV>
<DIV>June 95 -- STS-71: Budarin - civilian + Solovyov - air force</DIV>
<DIV>May 97 -- STS-84: Kondakova - civilian</DIV>
<DIV>Sep 97 -- STS-86: Titov - air force</DIV>
<DIV>Nov 98 -- STS-88: Krikalyov - civilian (originally scheduled for =
Dec 97=20
!)</DIV>
<DIV>Jan 98 -- STS-89: Sharipov - air force</DIV>
<DIV>June 98 --STS-91: Ryumin - civilian</DIV>
<DIV>May 99 -- STS-96: Tokarev - air force</DIV>
<DIV>May 00 --STS-101: Usachyov -- civilian</DIV>
<DIV>Sep 00 --STS-106: Malenchenko -- air force + Morukov -- =
civilian</DIV>
<DIV>STS-100: air force</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>But: the crew on STS-101 was reassigned on the inserted mission =
STS-106. So=20
the scheme was originally as follows:</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>STS-96: Tokarev - air force (was originally Malenchenko -- also air =
force=20
!!)</DIV>
<DIV>STS-101: Morukov -- civilian + Malenchenko -- air force</DIV>
<DIV>STS-100: civilian</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>And if we look at the numbering and not (expected) =
launchdates:</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>STS-96: air force</DIV>
<DIV>STS-100: civilian</DIV>
<DIV>STS-106: air force + civilian</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>This brings the chance for a civilian to 66.7% and =
33.3% for=20
air force... So, whose turn is it this time? It could be a civilian or a =
military man. Rex said that t<FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>wo possible =
people are=20
Zalyotin and Kotov. Both have been based at Houston previously. However, =
</FONT>I stay with the civilian AVDEYEV. What I didn't tell is that =
I've=20
been wrong every time I predicted a Russian crewmember on STS... We'll=20
see...</DIV></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Kees van den Berg</DIV>
<DIV>Gemini Productions.</DIV></BODY></HTML>
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