<<20091112>>
Archived distributions can be retrieved at; <http://preview.tinyurl.com/35zedj> This archive includes a html version of this list
distribution and its MS/WORD version with its filename as Òyear-month-date.doc.Ó
You can also access all of its attachments, if any.
Dr. Kristof Kloeckner <kristof@us.ibm.com>
Jai Menon <menonjm@almaden.ibm.com>
Robin Willner <willner@us.ibm.com>
Paul Maglio <pmaglio@almaden.ibm.com>
Yvonne Clina <c1clina@us.ibm.com>
Mr. Richard L. Garwin <rlg2@us.ibm.com>
Professor Seth G. Neugroschl <SN23@cunixf.cc.columbia.edu>
Ed Dodds <dodds@conmergence.com>
Prof. Dr.-Ing., Dr.sc. techn. (habil) Michael E. Auer <mea@online-engineering.org>
References:
(a) (20091101) Visit
to IBM on November 3rd, 2009
http://tinyurl.com/yfa53zx
(b) IBM Meeting Minutes by Aomar Benslimane
http://tinyurl.com/ygwkho6
(c) "Globally Collaborative Environmental Peace Gaming (GCEPG)"
http://tinyurl.com/k2c7a
BTW,
when I presented this project at the First International Conference on Computer
Communication (ICCC) in Washington, DC in October, 1972, only the scientist
from IBM Headquarters in Armonk, NY requested me further information —
though I forgot his name.
(d) V. Judson Harward,
et al; ÒThe iLab Shared Architecture: A Web Services Infrastructure to Build
Communities of Internet Accessible Laboratories,Ó
Proceedings of the IEEE, Vol. 96, No. 6, June 2008
Attached file <iLab-IEEEProceedings-2008-06 copy>
http://tinyurl.com/yckvqtp
(e) Proposal for an iLab Consortium, June, 2009
Attached file <Consortium.v9a
copy.pdf>
http://tinyurl.com/yermnpx
Dear Kristof:
(1) Many thanks for your msg (ATTACHMENT I).
Dear Jai:
I also thank you for your
participating in our mtg via audio conferencing.
Albeit belated, we were very much grateful for your spending a valuable time to
meet us in the afternoon of November 3rd in a conference room of your IBM
Headquarters — Reference (a) above.
It was a very fruitful mtg, indeed. Pls retrieve our minutes of the mtg
in Reference (b) above.
(2) We would like to have our colleagues in various countries construct their
countriesÕ national energy, economy, environment simulation models, which are
to be interconnected together to form Globally Distributed
Socio-Economic-Environmental Simulation System (GDSEESS);
Figure 1: <http://tinyurl.com/aj86pk>
NOTE: Globally
Distributed Climate Simulation System (GDCSS) may be constructed and linked
with GDSEESS later, since there is severe disciplinary chasm between
environmentalists and economists. Also, as said to you during our mtg,
the former is based on the solution of simultaneous partial differential
equations without regarding significance of any national boundaries, and on the
other hand, the latter is more discrete as aggregating national phenomena and
is basing on the solution of simultaneous solution of ordinary differential
equations as in system dynamics methodology.
This GDSEESS may also eventually serve as the Global Early Warning System
(GEWS), which was firstly proposed by the U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown at
the G20 Summit in London last April.
(3) Our GEWS (which is the extension of GCEPG of Reference (c) above) is to run
the national economy simulation model all the time, continuously and
repetitively, say, from the year 2000 to 2050, as similar to a repetitive
analog computer. The graphical presentation of the year 2000 to the
present would be the past data, and the one from the present to the 2050 would
be the prediction made by the simulation model. The initial conditions at
the present would be revised with the fresh input data, say, about the national
consensus or GDP (gross domestic product) figure, etc. This makes the
simulation as similar to the one of a nuclear power plant simulator/trainer
— or it could be the engine of a large oil tanker, which President Obama
often quotes as analogous to the operation of the United State economy.
BTW, we plan to
install Prof. OnishiÕs FUGI world econometric simulation model, which has 192
country models and 8 UN sector models. He has agreed to replace each of
them with the ones made by the experts of each countries, as observing the
basic iron rule #1 of simulation — see Item (7) below.
Millennium Institute is now consummating a contract with the Economic Community
Of West African States (ECOWAS)
to construct national simulation models of their 15 consortium member
countries, and also plans to construct similar models of 100 other countries in
the following two years. If they can be accepted by the people of those
countries, their models may be used to replace the ones of the FUGI model.
(4) Choice of simulation methodologies should be left to the experts of each
country (as far as they can produce time-series table as similar to EXCEL), and
what we have to concern is only how to interconnect exogenous variables among
inter-related countries and sectors. For this, we would need the
consistency of units and definition of variables.
Figure 2: <http://tinyurl.com/avqlkc>
We will have a joint conference with the Center for International Conflict
Resolution (CICR) of Columbia University next May — two days at Columbia
and one day at Polytechnic Institute of NYU — the latter is to discuss
the technicalities of this project, e.g., on the consistencies of definitions
of variables and units and how to interlink the models, etc.
(5) We hope that the GDSEESS will promote the ÒquantitativeÓ policy analysis
basing on the Òfacts and figures,Ó particularly for local confrontation prone
area of developing countries. To achieve this, we would need to educate
young would-be decision-makers with rational analysis and critical thinking
capabilities. This would be vital necessity if you consider when most of
targets of the UNÕs ÒMillennium Development GoalsÓ would not be met with in
2050 and the decision-makers at that time would be the current 10s and 20s
youngsters.
Our project would then have the following two-tier system;
(a) One for training
young would-be decision makers for understanding interwoven world phenomena
with rational analysis and critical thinking, and then in crisis management,
conflict resolution, and negotiation techniques basing on "facts and
figures" and
(b) The other for helping decision makers constructing a globally distributed
decision-support system for positive sum/win-win alternatives to conflict and
war.
Each Global University System (GUS) (which is an associating project) <http://tinyurl.com/sfgm7>
of various countries will maintain the sub-models of their countries
autonomously – along with construction and maintenance of its databases,
modification of their sub-models, and supply of game players in cooperation
with their overseas counterparts through the global Internet. See <http://tinyurl.com/65wrk7>
for the list and description of partners of this Global Socio-Economic-Energy-Environment
Development (GSEEED) project <http://tinyurl.com/6fb8bb>
– [See also MOU_Polytechnic_GLOSAS (the founder of GUS) <http://tinyurl.com/6oljpy>].
Although we did not
have much time to discuss during our mtg, we would be very much appreciative if
you can consider to support iLab (References (d) and (e) above). This is
because we would like to join in their activities in relation with our intention
of providing training young would-be decision makers for collaboratively
understanding interwoven world phenomena with rational analysis and critical
thinking, and then in crisis management, conflict resolution, and negotiation
techniques basing on "facts and figures" as mentioned above.
Pls
contact Prof. Michael E. Auer (see his address below) on this matter, who is
now planning to introduce our projects to the iLab people at their annual mtg
in Sydney next January.
(6) We firstly envisioned to use the so-called Beowulf mini supercomputer
(clusters of PCs) at each of various countries and interlink them through
broadband Internet.
However, if we can use the Cloud Computing, we may be able to eliminate the
construction of Beowulf computers and Internet telecom software for the
linkages of country models. It may also be much easier to conduct ÒGlobal
Lecture Hall (GLH)Ó multipoint-to-multipoint, multimedia, interactive
videoconferences, -- which I conducted with much difficulties once or twice
every year for a decade in the late 1980s to 90s with the use of hybrid
technologies and many domestic and overseas satellites spanning the globe <http://tinyurl.com/6r8c63>.
Dear Mr. Robin Willner:
(7) I browsed your URL, but I cannot figure out if we can use your Grid
service, since our project is the distributed simulation rather than GRID.
Your Grid service seems to require a central command post which instructs
many PCs scattered around the world with a piece of application software and
data, which then report back to the central post. This is all right for
such a scientific project as the Search for Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence
(SETI).
However, this seems to enact a stringent command-control system as StalinÕs Soviet
Union or feudalistic Japanese government and military. As you see in the
Figure 2 above, our approach is to enact the United Nations. As one of my
slides in the Reference (a) above shows, we need to observe the basic iron rule
#1 of simulation, i.e., ÒMake simulation close to SIMULAND as much as
possible.Ó
Thereby, I think that the cloud computing might be more suitable, if it is
versatile and enhanced version of the Òtime-sharingÓ system of the good old
days — see;
Smart Analytics Cloud
for System z
http://www-03.ibm.com/systems/z/solutions/cloud/smart.html
Dear Mr. Paul Maglio:
(8) I tried to find out anything about your World Simulator in the IBM web
site, but in vain.
Pls send me the URLs of any info about it. Thanks.
Dear Yvonne:
(9) I am sending this to you via fax, also, since you once told me that my
email to you and Kristof were filtered out by your IBM email server (*).
I hope this msg also goes to Jai since his other one <menonjm@almaden.ibm.com> bounced back the
other day, saying that he was not listed in Domino Directory.
(*) Dear Kritof,
Robin, Paul and Jai:
Pls kindly acknowledge your
receipt of this msg.
Many, many thanks for your kind arrangements made for our visit to Kristof on
11/3rd — I was sorry I could not meet with you on that day because of
your vacation. Pls convey my best regards to Ms. Lucille Bourgeois
— she kindly took care of our mtg room.
Dear Richard Garwin:
(10) Many thanks for your msg (ATTACHMENT II).
Hope to see you at SethÕs monthly seminar at Columbia University, if he would
resume it soon.
Dear Ed:
(11) Many, many thanks for your initial contact with Kristof through Linkedin.
I now see its value.
Keep in touch.
Best, Tak
ATTACHMENT I
From: Kristof Kloeckner <kristof@us.ibm.com>
Date: Tue, 10 Nov 2009 15:06:54 -0500
To: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Cc: Robin Willner <willner@us.ibm.com>,
Paul Maglio <pmaglio@almaden.ibm.com>,
Jai Menon <menonjm@almaden.ibm.com>
Tak,
thanks for the meeting last week. Here is the contact information we
discussed:
You can submit a proposal directly on the website of the
World Community
Grid -- http://www.worldcommunitygrid.org
-- the process and
application are all on-line. Robin Willner is our VP of
Global Community
Initiatives and as such the focal point for the World
Community Grid.
The contact for the World Simulator at IBM Research is Paul
Maglio
I have copied Robin and Paul on this note.
Kristof
Dr. Kristof Kloeckner,
CTO, Enterprise Initiatives &
VP, Cloud Computing Platforms
IBM Corporation
Armonk, NY 10504-1722
kristof@us.ibm.com
Tel: 914 499 6281
kristof@us.ibm.com
ATTACHMENT II
From: Richard L Garwin <rlg2@us.ibm.com>
Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 03:02:59
-0500
To: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Subject: Re: [gu-new]
(20091101) Visit to IBM on November 3rd, 2009
Dear Tak Utsumi,
Good luck on your visit to IBM.
I am in England for a few days but look forward with interest to a productive
interaction.
Dick Garwin
List of
Distribution
Dr. Kristof Kloeckner
CTO, Enterprise Initiatives &
VP, Cloud Computing Platforms
IBM Corporation
One New Orchard Road
2B-19N-6, MD 255
Armonk, NY 10504-1722
914-499-6281
Fax: 914-499-6003
kristof@us.ibm.com
Jai Menon
IBM
menonjm@almaden.ibm.com
Robin Willner
VP of Global Community Initiatives
willner@us.ibm.com
Paul Maglio
World Simulator
IBM Research
pmaglio@almaden.ibm.com
Yvonne Clina
Assistant, Global Administration
Supporting Dr. Kristof Kloeckner,
CTO, Enterprise Initiatives, and
Vice President, Cloud Computing Platforms &
Florence Hudson, Energy and Environment
Executive
IBM Corporation
One New Orchard Road
M/D 255
Armonk, NY 10504
Telephone: 914-499-5339 (t/l 641)
Fax: 914-499-6003 (t/l 641)
c1clina@us.ibm.com
Mr. Richard L. Garwin
IBM Fellow Emeritus
Research Division
IBM, Thomas J. Watson Research Center
P. O. Box 218
Yorktown Heights, NY 10598
914-245-2555
Fax: 914-945-4419
rlg2@us.ibm.com
www.fas.org/rlg
Professor Seth G. Neugroschl
Chairman, Monthly Seminar ÒComputer, Man and SocietyÓ
Columbia University
SN23@cunixf.cc.columbia.edu
Ed Dodds
<Conmergence/>
PO Box 210735
Nashville, TN 37221-0735
P: 615-301-8507
S: ed_dodds_skype
dodds@conmergence.com
www.conmergence.com
Prof. Dr.-Ing., Dr.sc. techn. (habil) Michael E. Auer
Professor of Electrical Engineering
Head of the Center of Competence Online Labs and E-Learning
School of Systems Engineering
Carinthia University of Applied Sciences
Europastrasse 4, A-9524 Villach, Austria
T: +43-(0)-4242/90-500-2115 F: -2110
phone +43(5)90500-2115
voice messages / fax: +49(3212)1045622
m.auer@cti.ac.at
M.Auer@IEEE.org
m.auer@cuas.at
www.cuas.at
http://WWW.cti.ac.at/auer
and
President and CEO
International Association of Online Engineering (IAOE)
Kirchengasse 10/200
A-1070 Vienna, Austria
T: +43-664-8959353
F: +49-12120-294752
mea@online-engineering.org
ceo@online-engineering.org
http://www.online-engineering.org
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* Takeshi Utsumi, Ph.D., P.E., Chairman, GLOSAS/USA
*
* (GLObal Systems Analysis and Simulation Association in the U.S.A.)
*
* Laureate of Lord Perry Award for Excellence in Distance Education
*
* Founder and V.P. for Technology and Coordination of *
* Global University System (GUS)
*
* 43-23 Colden Street, Flushing, NY 11355-5913, U.S.A.
*
* Tel: 718-939-0928; Fax: 718-795-1655; Skype: utsumi
*
* Email: utsumi@columbia.edu; http://www.friends-partners.org/GLOSAS/
*
* U.S. Federal Tax Exempt ID: 11-2999676 <http://tinyurl.com/534gxc>
*
* New York State Tax Exempt ID: 217837 <http://tinyurl.com/47wqbo>
*
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