<<20091014>>
Archived distributions can be retrieved at; <http://preview.tinyurl.com/35zedj> This archive includes a html version of this list
distribution and its MS/WORD version with its filename as Òyear-month-date.doc.Ó
You can also access all of its attachments, if any.
Prof. Dr.-Ing., Dr.sc. techn. (habil) Michael E. Auer <m.auer@cti.ac.at>
Hans Rudolf Herren, Ph.D. <hh@millennium-institute.org>
Dr. Jad Isaac, Director <jad@arij.org>
Josie Lianna Kaye <jlk2149@columbia.edu>
Prof. Roy E. Crosbie <RCrosbie@csuchico.edu>
Ralph. C. Huntsinger, Prof., Dr. <drralph@ecst.csuchico.edu>
Priscilla R. Elfrey <priscilla.r.elfrey@nasa.gov>
Francesco Longo <f.longo@unical.it>
References:
(a) (20091013)
Water crisis in the Middle East and Middle East Early Warning System (MEEWS)
http://tinyurl.com/yjg976e
(b) Takeshi Utsumi, P. Tapio Varis, and W. R. Klemm
"Creating Global University System (GUS)"
http://tinyurl.com/sfgm7
(c) Takeshi Utsumi, GLOSAS/USA
"Globally Collaborative Environmental Peace Gaming (GCEPG)"
http://tinyurl.com/k2c7a
The above two papers are in the following book;
(d) Global Peace Through The Global University System
Tapio Varis - Takeshi Utsumi -
William Klemm (Eds.)
University of Tampere, Finland 2003
ISBN 951-44-5695-5
The entire contents of this book can be retrieved at;
http://tinyurl.com/kofpf
In
the bottom line of this page, you can find the following;
ÒInterview with Takeshi UtsumiÓ by Parker Rossman
http://tinyurl.com/fnxxt
(e) Quantitative Policy Analysis of Global Socio-Economic-Energy-Environment
Development (GSEEED) Project
http://tinyurl.com/6fb8bb
This
is a variation of GCEPG above.
(f) Global Early Warning System (GEWS)
This
is a variation of GCEPG above — especially extension of Globally
Distributed Socio-Economic-Environmental Simulation System, which is depicted in Figure 8 of the Reference (c)
above.
We are now initiating this in West and North Africa, Middle East, Indian ocean
area, etc.
(g) Utsumi, T.,
(2008), "Development History of Peace Gaming and Global University
System," (September 7, 2008)
http://tinyurl.com/bdcjha
(h) (20091004-B) (1) Possible participation of GUS/GCEPG Projects to iLab
Consortium and (2) Visiting IBM to solicit support
http://tinyurl.com/ycg7v76
(i) Priscilla Elfrey, "Grand Challenges on Modeling and Simulation for
International Cooperation on Crises and Risky Enterprises,"
http://tinyurl.com/yzjm2ax
(j) (20090809) (1) New York Times article on ÒClimate Change
Seen as Threat to U.S. Security,Ó (2) Joint conference/workshop with CICR of
Columbia University
http://tinyurl.com/mdgpnq
(k) (20090707) Similarity between Al Gore's "Mission to Planet
Earth" project and Our GUS/GCEPG projects
http://tinyurl.com/kpxpm5
(l) "Globally
Collaborative Innovation Network with Global University System," Paper for Learning Technology, IEEE Computer Society, Vol. 8, Issue 3, July,
2006
http://tinyurl.com/fuwg6
Dear Auer:
(1) Many thanks for your swift response (ATTACHMENT I) to the Reference (a) above.
(2)
Yes, pls feel free to approach to your good friend in Jordan about our possible
Middle East Early Warning System (MEEWS) project.
(3) Our visit to IBM has been postponed to 11/3rd. Will let you know its
outcome afterward.
Dear Roy and
Priscilla:
Pls note iLab Consortium of
M.I.T., which info was passed on to me by Auer (Reference (h) above) —
this may have a very interesting direction for our simulationists, i.e., to
have collaborative simulation among youngsters in various developing countries
to create globally collaborative innovation network (Reference (l) above).
I once heard from high official of NASA that they were assigning high
schools around the US to design various parts of mockup space shuttle which
were to be combined on a central computer screen, of course, via broadband
Internet.
Dear Hans:
(4) Many thanks for your kind introduction of our projects to Dr. Jad Isaac,
Director of Applied Research Institute-Jerusalem.
Dear Dr. Isaac:
(5) I took the liberty of admitting you into our list. We would be
delighted if our proposed MEEWS project could be of any interest to your
people. As Hans noted, it could be the Decision Support System for
Accessing Sustainability of a Future Palestinian State.
Dear Josie:
I am now working on the
concept paper of our joint ÒGlobal Symposium on Climate Change and
International Peace and Security,Ó which is to be held at your Columbia
University next May. We need to inform it to Dr. Isaac when completed.
Dear Roy:
(6) Many thanks for your introduction of our projects to Priscilla of NASA, in
response to the Reference (a) above (ATTACHMENT II).
BTW, I got your name from the member list of RalphÕs International McLeod
Institute of Simulation Sciences (MISS) located at your university, under his
auspices.
He is a few years junior to me at the Chemical Engineering Dept. of Montana
State University in Bozeman, Montana. After I created the Summer Computer
Simulation Conference (SCSC) of the Society of International Computer
Simulation in 1970 as the Program Chairman and also served its 1971 SCSC as the
General Chairman, he took it over and served the Presidency of the society
three times — BTW, I named the society and SCSC.
Ralph kindly joined in our project team — see <http://tinyurl.com/yfqoen9>. Pls
say hello to Ralph when you see him next time.
Dear Priscilla:
(7) Many thanks for your msg (ATTACHMENT III). I am very glad to know you.
I am very happy to know that you are out of Columbia University (including
Barnard).
The flyer of your next conference on "Grand Challenges on Modeling and
Simulation for International Cooperation on Crises and Risky Enterprises"
(Reference (i) above) is very interesting and impressive. This is almost
exactly same direction as our GUS/GCEPG/GEWS projects are going (see References
above).
We are now start working to hold a joint conference on ÒGlobal Symposium on
Climate Change and International Peace and Security,Ó as mentioned above.
Josie of the Center for International Conflict and Resolution (CICR) of
Columbia University told me that it will be held in next May for two days at
Columba University with potential invitees from all different fields including
scientists, energy specialists, military figures, academics, practitioners,
policy makers, government representatives and representatives from
multi-lateral organizations.
The main idea of this conference is based on;
ÒMuch of the public
and political debate on global warming has focused on finding substitutes for
fossil fuels, reducing emissions that contribute to greenhouse gases and
furthering negotiations toward an international climate treaty — not
potential security challenges.Ó ÒOr we will pay the price later in military
terms,Ó -- ÒAnd that will involve human lives.Ó
This was mentioned in The New York Times as quoted in the Reference (j) above.
The half of the second day will specially be devoted for the use of simulation
techniques for the policy analysis and recommendations, and I will be the one
to design it. I will also organize one day session at Polytechnic
Institute of New York University (after the sessions at Columbia University
finished) to discuss the technicalities of the outline of our projects. I
would be very happy if you can kindly join in this effort. The results of
this joint conference/workshop will be published in a book.
(8) About my simulation bio;
Before I engaged with the SCSC, I started my simulation of chemical reaction in
late 1950s to absorb SO2/NOX gases into alkaline solution with slow-time analog
computer which was made by Bell Lab in New Jersey and mounted on the Battle
Ship Missouri to compute the gun tracking to shoot Hitachi-city in Japan.
After this, I had a privilege to use Beckman InstrumentÕs world largest hybrid
computer over a half year in early 1960s — two analog computers (500
amplifiers on each) with a world first real-time digital computer made by
Xerox. I was working for Mobil and made a simulation of a retort to extract
shale oil out of shale rock from Rocky Mountains. It was priced about
US$1.5 million and was supposed to be shipped to NASA, but NASA did not have
enough money. After several months, Boeing people came to use it. I
asked them what they were doing. They said ÒWe are designing a new
airplane which can fly to Tokyo within 30 minutes!! Tokyo is too short
distance so that the plain has to circle globe a couple times before landing
Tokyo.Ó I thought they were just crazy people. Lo Be Hold!!, about a
decade later, I learned that Okinawa was designated as an emergency landing for
space shuttle. I also learned about a half dozen years later that the
hybrid computer was shipped to the Lincoln Lab at M.I.T., and used to simulate
for the lunar landing when Armstrong was landing on the moon in July of 1969.
(8) After I got an idea of distributed simulation at the 1971 SCSC, I presented
it at the First International Conference on Computer Communication (ICCC) in
Washington, DC in October 1972 (Figure 6 of Reference (c) above). At that
conference, I encountered with the demo of packet-switching ARPANET (a
predecessor of Internet), which was invented by Dr. Paul Baran. I then
worked on its extension to many Asian countries, especially to Japan —
see the subsequent development history in the Reference (g) above.
When I heard the
presentation of the ÒLimits to the GrowthÓ group of the M.I.T., I thought how
their half dozen specialists/researchers could claim to know everything of the
world — Japanese should know much more than they did as far as about
Japan, so that Japan side should be modeled by Japanese — this was the
starting point of our so-called Òdistributed simulationÓ -- and this is to
comply with the basic Iron Rule #1 of simulation, i.e., ÒMake simulation as
much close to SIMULAND as possible.Ó
We are now then working on GUS, GCEPG, GSEEED, GEWS (see References above).
(4) Al GoreÕs early book ÒEarth in BalanceÓ indicates that his project
direction is very much similar to our GUS/GCEPG.
Excerpt from; Al Gore,
ÒEarth in the Balance: Forging a New Common PurposeÓ ISBN 978-1-84407-484-6, pp. 354-360, 1992
http://tinyurl.com/nbb8pj
He might have gotten the idea of Òmassively parallel processingÓ computer network architecture (*) from his staff
who was one of our list members when I did it through the Electronic
Information Exchange System (EIES) of New Jersey Institute of Technology since
early 1980s — a World Bank officer once said that our list is the world
longest running list. Although Al Gore kindly mentioned that Japan was
constructing such a network, I knew that there were none doing such, except my
papers about GCEPG. I sent to one of his staffs at the National Security
Council in the White House, since she was one of my list members.
(*) See Figures 6 to 8
of the Reference (c) above — Figures 6 and 7 were presented at the First
ICCC mentioned above.
(5) Our Global Early Warning System (GEWS) is the extension of Globally
Distributed Socio-Economic-Environmental Simulation System, which is depicted in Figure 8 of the Reference (c)
above.
This is to interlink national models of various countries via broadband
Internet so that it will act as if a single global simulation with distributed
simulation mode in a global scale supercomputer with massively parallel
processing.
We initially planned to use Beowulf (*) mini supercomputer at each location to
accommodate those national models which will be interconnected via broadband
Internet, but if we could use Cloud Computing, things might be much easier
— hence we are now scheduled to visit IBM on November 3rd to solicit
their support.
(*) The origin of
Beowulf mini supercomputer is Heterogeneous Element Processor (HEP) of Denelcor
in Denver, CO in early 1970s, which was designed by Max Gilliland, who also
designed the Beckman hybrid computer mentioned above. The concept of HEP
was the extension of ILLIAC-IV at NASA Ames Research in California — the
latter had 4 processors, and the HEP had 50 CPUs of PDP-11. I introduced
its technology to NEC of Japan, which then constructed the Earth Simulation
with US$350 million, then the world fastest supercomputer — which has
been abandoned, since the 80% market of supercomputer is now with Beowulf mini
supercomputer.
(6) I wish you a very good
luck to your conference with Prof. Francesco Longo of the University of
Calabria in Italy for the forthcoming Simulation Multiconference (IMc10) in
Ottawa, Canada next summer, and subsequent one in Morocco with Prof. Agostino
Bruzzone in Genoa.
I also would like to have your support and help to our joint
conference/workshop with the CICR of Columbia University next May, which is
mentioned above.
Keep in touch.
Best, Tak
ATTACHMENT I
From: "Michael E.
Auer" <auer@cti.ac.at>
Reply-To: <M.Auer@cti.ac.at>
Date: Tue, 13 Oct 2009 21:17:17
+0200
To: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Subject: Re: [gu-new]
(20091013) Water crisis in the Middle East and Middle East Early Warning System
(MEEWS)
Dear Tak,
thank you for this email. I have good contacts to Jordan, may be this can be
helpfull for the planned project.
By the way: How was the IBM meeting?
All the best,
Michael
ATTACHMENT II
From:
"Crosbie,
Roy" <RCrosbie@csuchico.edu>
Date: Tue,
13 Oct 2009 12:21:00 -0500
To: NASA
ODIN <Priscilla.R.Elfrey@nasa.gov>
Subject: FW:
[gu-new] (20091013) Water crisis in the Middle East and Middle East Early
Warning System (MEEWS)
Priscilla,
I get regular e-mails from Tak Utsumi as below. You are probably more aware of
his work than I am. I am not sure how I got onto his network, but I do know
that he has been working on simulation applications to global problems for many
years. He and his network may be a good connection for your conference.
Roy
ATTACHMENT III
From: "Elfrey, Priscilla R. (KSC-ITC10)" <priscilla.r.elfrey@nasa.gov>
Date: Tue, 13 Oct 2009 15:01:35
-0500
To: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Cc: Francesco Longo <f.longo@unical.it>, Agostino Bruzzone <Agostino@itim.unige.it>
Subject: FW: [gu-new]
(20091013) Water crisis in the Middle East and Middle East Early Warning System
(MEEWS)
Hello,
My friend, Roy Crosbie, at Chico State University forwarded this email
and I am ashamed to say that I did not know more about your work than he. Or
about it at all—although I was aware of ColumbiaÕs CICR ( New York,
Columbia and Barnard are old home) and was planning to cast about for contacts
once I had completed (just-now) the attached plan and call for papers for
the ÒGrand Challenge Conference on Modeling and Simulation for
International Cooperation on Crises and Risky Enterprises. Ó This
mouthful is one of the conferences to take place in Ottawa this summer at the
Simulation Multiconference (IMc10) sponsored by the Society for Computer
Simulation International (SCS) and others including the Simulation
Interoperability and Standards Organization (SISO). My own simulation work has
been in the massive complexity of Space exploration but I have been
fascinated by the, finally, now accepted work at NASA on the
environment including work here at Kennedy Space Center and look forward to the
creation in Florida of a much needed research center on hurricane
science. I am delighted to know now of your work and would be pleased to be
added to your network and explore mutual interests. Francesco Longo at
the University of Calabria is working on the website for the IMc10 and he
or I will send you that detail when he has it ready. The stories in this email
trail may, also, be of interest to another conference he and I (
and Agostino Bruzzone in Genoa) are discussing that will be Fes, Morocco next
year. But first, Ottawa.
Priscilla
List of
Distribution
Prof. Dr.-Ing., Dr.sc. techn. (habil) Michael E. Auer
Professor of Electrical Engineering
Head of the Center of Competence Online Labs and E-Learning
School of Systems Engineering
Carinthia University of Applied Sciences
Europastrasse 4, A-9524 Villach, Austria
T: +43-(0)-4242/90-500-2115 F: -2110
phone +43(5)90500-2115
voice messages / fax: +49(3212)1045622
m.auer@cti.ac.at
M.Auer@IEEE.org
m.auer@cuas.at
www.cuas.at
http://WWW.cti.ac.at/auer
and
President and CEO
International Association of Online Engineering (IAOE)
Kirchengasse 10/200
A-1070 Vienna, Austria
T: +43-664-8959353
F: +49-12120-294752
mea@online-engineering.org
ceo@online-engineering.org
http://www.online-engineering.org
Hans Rudolf Herren, Ph.D.
President
Millennium Institute
2200 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 650
Arlington, VA 22201-3357 USA
Tel: (+1-703) 841-0048
Fax: (+1-703) 841-0050
Cell: (+1-530) 867-4569
hh@millennium-institute.org
hansrherren@mac.com
http://www.millennium-institute.org
http://www.millenniuminstitute.net/
www.threshold21.com
http://www.biovision.ch
http://www.eduvision.or.ke
Dr. Jad Isaac, Director
Applied Research Institute-Jerusalem
Tel: (972-2) 274 1889
Fax: (972-2) 277 6966
jad@arij.org
Josie Lianna Kaye
Columbia University (MA), Sciences Po Paris (MA)
Assistant Director, Center for International Conflict Resolution, CICR
1325 International Affairs Building
420 West, 118th Street, MC 3369
New York, NY 10027
Tel: +1-212-854-5623
Cel: +13473239571
France: +33632343826
UK: +447891681902
jlk2149@columbia.edu
Prof. Roy E. Crosbie
California State University, Chico
Chico, CA 95929-0410
RCrosbie@csuchico.edu
Ralph. C. Huntsinger, Prof., Dr.
Emeritus Professor of Computer Science
Emeritus Professor of Mechanical Engineering and Manufacturing
Founder and Emeritus Director, the International McLeod Institute of Simulation
Sciences (MISS) College of Engineering, Computer Science, and Construction
Mgmt.
California State University, Chico
Chico, CA 95929-0410
Cel: +1 530 521 3456
Polish Mobil Phone: + 48 506 359 787
+1 530 343 3456 (Home)
FAX: +1 (530) 343-3556
Fax: +1 530 898 5995
drralph@ecst.csuchico.edu
drralph@wi.pb.edu.pl
drralph@huntsinger.net
drralph@csuchico.edu
drralph@humboldt.edu
drralph@wi.pb.edu.pl
drralph@stormnet.com
http://www.simulationscience.org/
Priscilla R. Elfrey
NASA (KSC-ITC10)
priscilla.r.elfrey@nasa.gov
Francesco Longo
University of Calabria
Calabria, Italy
f.longo@unical.it
*******************************************************************************
* Takeshi Utsumi, Ph.D., P.E., Chairman, GLOSAS/USA
*
* (GLObal Systems Analysis and Simulation Association in the U.S.A.)
*
* Laureate of Lord Perry Award for Excellence in Distance Education
*
* Founder and V.P. for Technology and Coordination of
*
* Global University System (GUS)
*
* 43-23 Colden Street, Flushing, NY 11355-5913, U.S.A.
*
* Tel: 718-939-0928; Fax: 718-795-1655; Skype: utsumi
*
* Email: utsumi@columbia.edu; http://www.friends-partners.org/GLOSAS/
*
* U.S. Federal Tax Exempt ID: 11-2999676 <http://tinyurl.com/534gxc>
*
* New York State Tax Exempt ID: 217837 <http://tinyurl.com/47wqbo>
*
*******************************************************************************