<<20090917>>
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Allenna Leonard <allenna_leonard@yahoo.com>
Ed Dodds <dodds@conmergence.com>
References:
(a) (20090914) Need
of Global Warning System (GEWS) with distributed simulation system
<http://tinyurl.com/klalpe>
(b) Allenna Leonard, Incoming Presidential Address for the International
Society for Systems Science (ISSS), July 17, 2009
<http://tinyurl.com/pq92ls>
(c) SA pigeon Ôfaster than broadbandÕ
<http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/8248056.stm>
Dear Dr. Leonard:
(1) I thank you very much indeed for your msg (ATTACHMENT I) in response to the Reference (a) above. It
is my privilege and honor to receive it from you.
(2) I read your incoming presidential address to the International Society for
Systems Science (ISSS) (Reference (b) above) with great interest. It is
very impressive and inspiring.
It is a strong encouragement for us to know that the system dynamics
methodology was used almost 35 years ago by Salvador AllendeÕs Chilean
government for their policy analysis and decision-making with Stafford BeerÕs
Viable System Model (VSM), -- even with the real-time (?) data input by donkey
from remote area of Andes mountain!! (Nowadays, pigeon might be a bit
faster than Internet (Reference (c) above).
(3) As I also mentioned in the Reference (a) above, I agree 100% with your
following statement;
ÒIt is within the
realm of the possible to design a recursive global information system focused
on our essential variables that would distill the voices of the people and provide
early warning of vulnerabilities in our social and environmental fabric.Ó
You
also mentioned as;
ÒIn practical terms,
the present and future of the social economy was to come together in an
Ôoperations roomÕ. This was literally a room with seven or eight chairs
connected to about the same number of display screens. The screens included the
VSM for the entity, its simulations, alerting screens monitoring critical
factors and basic information screens such as accounts, maps or pictures.Ó
ÒAnd I donÕt think
we should wait around hoping for another Allende to implement this possibility.
The people – thatÕs us, and especially us in the systems community
– could start the ball rolling.Ó
ÒWe have knowledge of how systems work; we have methodologies and models; and
we have a special responsibility to bring them to light. If we donÕt promote a
whole systems view of our challenges, who will?Ó
(4) We would greatly
appreciate it if you can kindly introduce us anyone who has national economy
simulation model, since we are planning to interconnect with other countriesÕ
in the cloud computing environment to form Globally Distributed Socio-Economic-Environmental
Simulation System;
We plan the simulation models of each countries will be autonomously refined
and administered. They would also be operated continuously and
repetitively as similar to those of nuclear power plant simulator/trainer, say,
from 2000 to 2050 with real data up to the date of starting the simulation.
The exogenous variables which connect with other countries will be
exchanged at a central database, which may correspond to the United Nations
— BTW, your ÒGlobal Viability IndexÓ may be constructed from this central
database, Òthat has the potential to monitor social systems on a proactive
basis that employs the insights of systems science to avoid crises before they
occur,Ó as you said.
The Òoperations room,Ó which you mentioned, for this project may be similar to
the one of NASAÕs Johnson Space Center in Houston, TX, or the one of AT&T;
Some of those large scale screens may show the cause-and-effect diagram;
Or, execution results of simulation such as;
We would welcome your further response for the realization of this project.
The Global Early Warning System (GEWS) of this kind may also be well
beneficial to natural disaster, such as the Tokyo Earthquake occurred on
September 1st of 1923, which completely destroyed almost entire Tokyo. If
such disaster happens again, it would cause serious economic consequences
worldwide, since every thing affects globally and immediately as witnessed with
the current economic crises.
Dear Ed:
(5) Many thanks for your msg (ATTACHMENT II), as informing me the web site of the video-talk
by Mr. Lew Tucker, vice president and CTO of cloud computing at Sun
Microsystems, who mentioned of leapfrogging by many developing countries to the
cloud computing in order to save costs and develop their economies.
Best, Tak
ATTACHMENT I
From: allenna leonard <allenna_leonard@yahoo.com>
Date: Tue, 15 Sep 2009 07:55:04 -0700 (PDT)
To: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Subject: Re: [gu-new] (20090914) Need of Global Early Warning System (GEWS)
with distributed simulation system
Dear Professor Utsumi,
You may be interested to know that I called for something similar, although
based on a voluntary wiki type format to begin in my presiential address to the
International Society for Systems Science. (attached) Of course, it could
be associated with the UN when it got established as was the case with
Transparency International.
Sincerely,
Allenna Leonard
ATTACHMENT II
From: Ed Dodds <dodds@conmergence.com>
Organization: Conmergence
Reply-To: Ed Dodds <dodds@conmergence.com>
Date: Wed, 16 Sep 2009 12:28:37
-0500
To: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Subject: Lew Tucker, vice
president and CTO of cloud computing at Sun Microsystems
FYI
At the OpenSource World event in San
Francisco, he explained that many developing countries are skipping over
acquiring their own servers and going right to the cloud. Because of the cost
effectiveness, the move may spur their economies and create jobs. This could
also hold true for the U.S. government, currently creating its own cloud as
well.
http://news.zdnet.com/2422-19178_22-331284.html
List of
Distribution
Allenna Leonard
President
International Society for Systems Science
allenna_leonard@yahoo.com
Ed Dodds
<Conmergence/>
PO Box 210735
Nashville, TN 37221-0735
P: 615-301-8507
S: ed_dodds_skype
dodds@conmergence.com
www.conmergence.com
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* Takeshi Utsumi, Ph.D., P.E., Chairman, GLOSAS/USA
*
* (GLObal Systems Analysis and Simulation Association in the U.S.A.)
*
* Laureate of Lord Perry Award for Excellence in Distance Education
*
* Founder and V.P. for Technology and Coordination of
*
* Global University System (GUS)
*
* 43-23 Colden Street, Flushing, NY 11355-5913, U.S.A.
*
* Tel: 718-939-0928; Email: utsumi@columbia.edu
*
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*
* U.S. Federal Tax Exempt ID: 11-2999676 <http://tinyurl.com/534gxc>
*
* New York State Tax Exempt ID: 217837 <http://tinyurl.com/47wqbo>
*
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