<<December 11, 2008>>
Archived distributions can be retrieved at;
<http://preview.tinyurl.com/35zedj>
This archive includes a html version of this list distribution and its MS/WORD version with its filename as Òmonth-date-year.doc.Ó  You can also access all of its attachments, if any.

Peter O. Jack <pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk>

Dr. Dorien J. DeTombe (MSc.Ph.D.) <detombe@nosmo.nl>

Walter G. Ollor, Ph.D. <ollorwgo@yahoo.com>

Hans Rudolf Herren, Ph.D. <hh@millennium-institute.org>

Weishuang (WS) Qu <wq@millennium-institute.org>

Andrea M. Bassi <ab@millennium-institute.org>


Dear Peter:

(1) Many thanks for your msgs (ATTACHMENT I) in response to our list distribution of;

(12/09/08) GSEEED project for verifying Al Gore's proposed energy policy
<http://tinyurl.com/5s3vpj>


(2) Many thanks for your bringing the followings to my attention;

(a) Andrea M. Bassi (2006),
Modeling U.S. Energy with Threshold 21 (T21)
<Modeling_US_Energy_with_T21 copy.pdf><http://tinyurl.com/6pjmw7> (276 KB)

(b) Millennium Institute
T21-USA Run Only User Guide
<T21-USA User Guide.pdf><http://tinyurl.com/5vttyg> (696 KB)

(c) Millennium Institute (2005),
Guide to Navigating the T21AEO Model
<T21AEO.pdf><http://tinyurl.com/5dze9k> (772 KB)

(d) Millennium Institute (2003),
Guide to Navigating the T21-Ghana Model
<T21Ghana.pdf><http://tinyurl.com/5j5hzf> (24 KB)

(e) Millennium Institute (2003),
Guide to Navigating the T21-Malawi Model
<T21Malawi.pdf><http://tinyurl.com/6lexcq> (660 KB)

(f) Millennium Institute,
T21-North America, A Simple User Manual
<T21NA.pdf><http://tinyurl.com/5wp4rz> (472 KB)

(g) Millennium Institute (2003),
Guide to Navigating the T21-Papua Model
<T21Papua.pdf><http://tinyurl.com/5dhh6l> (956 KB)

I have printed them all and will read them with great interest during this holiday season.  They are certainly very excellent documents.

(3) It would be wonderful opportunity if you can attend the following;

"Systems Dynamics Based Development Planning" Exchange Course in partnership with University of Bergen, Norway from March 23 to May 8, 2009
<http://www.millennium-institute.org/news/051208.html>


Dear Dorien:

(4) Many thanks for your msg (ATTACHMENT II).

Which of universities in the Netherlands provides the credits of this course?

Dear Peter:

You may seriously consider to take her course — pls contact her if she provide it with e-learning.  This would be an excellent prelude to the system dynamics modeling of your GSEEED project in Nigeria/Niger Delta region.  You may be able to include this experience into your Ph.D. Thesis, too.  See also;

 

(a) (07/12/08) Training course on Compram at the possible Novosibirsk workshop in spring of 2009
http://tinyurl.com/62gju5

(b) (08/25/08) Meeting with Prof. Walter Ollor from Nigeria at Polytechnic Institute of NYU on 8/21/08
http://tinyurl.com/65aw7z

Dear Walter:

Pls keep in your mind to invite her to your planning workshop in next May in your Niger Delta region.


Dear Peter:

(5) It is good to read your msg to Hans (ATTACHMENT III).  Hope you will keep a good contact with him.

(6) Thanks also for your msg to Weishuang and Andrea (ATTACHMENT IV).

I am very happy to know that you are getting ready to work with them on your GSEEED/Nigeria project <http://tinyurl.com/3k2fk9>.

I would suggest that you firstly produce a brief (1~2 pages) write-up on the followings — you and Walter are the ones who know well the conditions in Nigeria/Niger Delta region;

(a) Purpose — as elaborating what I said before on Al GoreÕs energy policy,
(b) Its consequences in the foreseeable future — particularly to Niger region and Nigeria as a whole,
(c) Proposed methodologies for Nigerian energy policy analysis — this part may be written by Weishuang and Andrea with their extensive experiences with T21 projects in various African countries,
(d) Expected benefits — particularly on the reduction of conflicts among local stakeholders in Niger Delta region.

Reference:
Tom OÕNeill, ÒCurse of the Black Gold: Hope and Betrayal in the Niger Delta,Ó National Geographic, February 2007

This article tells how miserable those people in the Niger Delta region are, even though the region produces plenty of oil money.


Your write-up is to be refined by Weishuang and Andrea and then to be incorporated into our previous one <http://tinyurl.com/3k2fk9> — I would be happy to be consulted during the course.  We will then send it to Walter for his approval for his school to raise fund with it for his planning workshop next May.

Subsequently, your write-up would be the first starting point to approach to high officials of Niger region local state governments as well as Nigeria federal government in Abuja — i.e., for marketing your GSEEED/Nigeria project.

Keep in touch.

Best, Tak

ATTACHMENT I

 

From: PETER JACK <pj2000ngr@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2008 18:49:02 +0900
To: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Cc: <peterjack@temep.snu.ac.kr>
Subject: T21 REFERENCES

 

Dear TAK,
 
This is a resend with slightly different attachments. The first mail by my yahoo address did not seem to have been delivered as my copy to my campus email did not arrive.

I remain eternally grateful for the priviledged opportunities you are bringing my way. I will write to Dr. Hans R. Herren later today to thank him for the opportunity, and to Weishuang Qu, and Andrea Bassi as per your request to refine the Concept Paper of our project.

I spent some time on the Millennium Institute Website and found a lot of Information about their T21 System and Applications, which I hereby attach the African Economic Outlook Model and Andrea's Paper for your reference and await your further guidance and direction.

They are running a Full 7-week "Systems Dynamics Based Development Planning" Exchange Course in partnership with University of Bergen, Norway from March 23 to May 8, 2009. I believe the course should be based on the T21 System. The timing does not affect my earlier plans for the Summer. I wish to apply for this course as they seem to have some funding opportunities for Professionals and Students from developing countries. Although here again, if I have to fund myself, I can try to seek extra support from other sources. I think this should give me a good grounding in their modelling and simulation system before I come to the USA. I notice also, that they are using the Vensim Simulation Tool for most of their work, an encouraging discovery; I recall that you already mentioned this to me earlier.

 Kindly direct further, Sir

Humble Regards,

Peter Jack,
PhD Candidate,
International Information Technology Policy Program (ITPP),
Technology Management, Economics and Policy Program (TEMEP),
College of Engineering,
Seoul National University.
ROK: +8210-8680-5455
NIG: +234-80-2311-2676
UK: +44-770-483-9569
peterjack@temep.snu.ac.kr
pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk

ATTACHMENT II

 

From: Dorien DeTombe <doriendetombe@hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2008 17:09:21 +0000
To: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Cc: DeTombe <detombe@nosmo.nl>, <doriendetombe@hotmail.com>
Subject: e-course on Methodology of Societal Complexity

Dear Tak,
 
Recently I developed an internet course on Methodology of Societal Complexity for master and Ph.D. students and for policy makers

There are 4 follow up courses.
Each e-course consists of theory and practice and assignments of 6 student credits..

One gets a step by step further an introduction into the field of handling complex societal problems and making simulation models and learn the methodology Compram.
Learning how to produce sustainable knowledge for handling terrorism, climate change, global safety and floods for instance.
The study material is illustrated with power point presentations and video.
The students will get feedback via email on their the assignments.
Each e-course is rewarded with a  diploma.
You an find all information on: www.complexitycourse.org

This might be of interest for the members of our research group and for students of our universities.
 
If you find this information worthwhile for our group, please post it on the website of http://www.friends-partners.org/GLOSAS/


Thanks very much.
 
All the best,
 
Dorien DeTombe
 
Dr. Dorien  DeTombe (MSc.Ph.D.)
Chair International Research Society on
Methodology of Societal Complexity
P.O. Box. 3286, NL-1001 AB Amsterdam, The Netherlands, Europe
Tel: +31 20 6927526  DeTombe@nosmo.nl
http://www.geocities.com/DorienDeTombe
International Scientific Journal of Methods and Models of Complexity
http://www.geocities.com/doriendetombe/detombeMMvolmue9chaoslegal.html
www.complexitycourse.org

Dr. Dorien  J. DeTombe
Chair international & Euro Operational Research Working Group
Complex Societal Problems & Issues
P.O. Box. 3286, 1001 AB Amsterdam, The Netherlands, Europe
Tel: +31 20 6927526
E-Mail: DorienDeTombe@hotmail.com
http://www.geocities.com/doriendetombe

ATTACHMENT III

 

From: Peter Jack <pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk>
Reply-To: Peter Jack <pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk>
Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2008 13:10:49 +0000 (GMT)
To: Hans R Herren <hansrherren@mac.com>
Cc: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Subject: Re: [gu-new] (12/09/08) GSEEED project for verifying Al Gore's proposed energy policy

 

Dear Dr. Hans R. Herren,
 
I really appreciate the opportunity of getting to know you through TAK.  I am humbled to know also, that you actually spent that length of time in Nigeria helping us to combat insects to protect our most cherished national food (Garri). I hope you enjoyed it as Eba?
 
Thank you for accepting to work with me on Systems Dynamics Modeling and Simulation. I have spent some time on your Website and found a lot of work you are doing with the T21 Initiative. You have done quite a number of diverse T21 models and simulations at national and regional levels. It appears that while you have already done some work in Ghana, there is still some opportunity to do similar work in Nigeria and other parts of West Africa as your comments highlight.
 
As I am currently using Vensim as my preffered Tool, when I noticed that you also use Vensim for your work I was elated. I saw the paper by Andrea on U. S. Energy Modeling with T21.
 
I eagerly look forward to meeting and working with you soon. I may make some Eba for you to bring back your old memories of Ibadan. I noticed though that you have a Nigerian on your team (Adedoyin Onasanya).
 
Humble Regards,

Peter Jack,
PhD Candidate,
International Information Technology Policy Program (ITPP),
Technology Management, Economics and Policy Program (TEMEP),
College of Engineering,
Seoul National University.
ROK: +8210-8680-5455
NIG: +234-80-2311-2676
UK: +44-770-483-9569
peterjack@temep.snu.ac.kr
pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk

ATTACHMENT IV

 

From: Peter Jack <pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk>
Reply-To: Peter Jack <pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk>
Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2008 14:42:55 +0000 (GMT)
To: Tak Utsumi <utsumi@columbia.edu>
Subject: Fw: GSEEED project for verifying Al Gore's proposed energy policy

 

--- On Wed, 10/12/08, Peter Jack <pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:

From: Peter Jack <pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk>
Subject: GSEEED project for verifying Al Gore's proposed energy policy
To: wq@millennium-institute.org
Cc: ab@millennium-institute.org
Date: Wednesday, 10 December, 2008, 2:39 PM

Dear Weishuang/Andrea,
 
I was recently introduced to your Institute by Dr. Takeshi Utsumi, Founder of the Global University System (GUS). I have written to Dr. Hans Herren to express my appreciation of the opportuniity to work with you soon on some T21 projects.
 
Kindly look at the attached concept note on the GSEEED project intended to also model Niger Delta/Nigeria's Energy based on Al Gore's proposed energy policy . We would appreciate it if you can refine the paper with the iclusion of brief description of the US Energy Model by Andrea, the T21 Model System, and some of your other works on national and regional models using the T21 Tool.
 
Thank you in anticipation of your kind cooperation.
Best Regards,

Peter Jack,
PhD Candidate,
International Information Technology Policy Program (ITPP),
Technology Management, Economics and Policy Program (TEMEP),
College of Engineering,
Seoul National University.
ROK: +8210-8680-5455
NIG: +234-80-2311-2676
UK: +44-770-483-9569
peterjack@temep.snu.ac.kr
pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk

List of Distribution


Peter O. Jack
Training Consultant/Director
National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA)
Federal Ministry of Science & Technology
Plot 695, Port-Harcourt Crescent
Off Gimbiya Street,
Area 11, Garki, Abuja ‑ Nigeria
Tel: 09‑3142925 (Ext 102)
Fax: 09‑3142924
GSM: 08023112676
GSM: 0805 5007777
08033122299
pj2000ngr@yahoo.co.uk

Dr. Dorien J. DeTombe (MSc.Ph.D.)
Chair International Research Society on Methodology of Societal Complexity
P.O. Box. 3286, 1001 AB Amsterdam, The Netherlands, Europe
Tel: +31 20 6927526
detombe@nosmo.nl
DorienDeTombe@hotmail.com
http://www.geocities.com/doriendetombe
http://www.geocities.com/doriendetombe/detombeagenda2008.html
International Scientific Journal of Methods and Models of Complexity
Volume 8 Global Safety and Terrorism
http://www.geocities.com/doriendetombe/detombeMMvolmue8terrorism.html

Walter G. Ollor, Ph.D.
Professor
College of Business and Management Sciences
Igbinedion University, Okada (IUO)
P.M.B 0006
Benin City
Edo State, Nigeria
Tel:+234-803-709-5725
ollorwgo@yahoo.com

Hans Rudolf Herren, Ph.D.
President
Millennium Institute
2200 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 650
Arlington, VA 22201-3357 USA
Tel: (+1-703) 841-0048
Fax: (+1-703) 841-0050
Cell: (+1-530) 867-4569
hh@millennium-institute.org
hansrherren@mac.com
http://www.millennium-institute.org
http://www.millenniuminstitute.net/
www.threshold21.com
http://www.biovision.ch
http://www.eduvision.or.ke

Weishuang (WS) Qu
Director of Modeling and Analysis
Millennium Institute
2200 Wilson Blvd, Suite 650
Arlington, VA 22201-3357
Tel: +1-703-841-0048
Fax: +1-703-841-0050
Cel: 301-873-3073
wq@millennium-institute.org
www.millennium-institute.org

Andrea M. Bassi
Senior Modeler
Millennium Institute
2200 Wilson Blvd. Suite 650
Arlington, VA 22201
USA
Tel. +1 (703) 841 0048
ab@millennium-institute.org

*******************************************************************************
* Takeshi Utsumi, Ph.D., P.E., Chairman, GLOSAS/USA                           *
* (GLObal Systems Analysis and Simulation Association in the U.S.A.)          *
* Laureate of Lord Perry Award for Excellence in Distance Education           *
* Founder and V.P. for Technology and Coordination of                         *
*   Global University System (GUS)                                            *
* 43-23 Colden Street, Flushing, NY 11355-5913, U.S.A.                        *
* Tel: 718-939-0928; Email: utsumi@columbia.edu                               *
* http://www.itu.int/wsis/goldenbook/search/display.asp?Quest=8032562&lang=en *
* http://www.friends-partners.org/GLOSAS/                                     *
* U.S. Federal Tax Exempt ID: 11-2999676 <http://tinyurl.com/534gxc>          *
* New York State Tax Exempt ID: 217837 <http://tinyurl.com/47wqbo>            *
*******************************************************************************