<<September
11, 2007>>
Archived distributions can be retrieved at;
<http://preview.tinyurl.com/35zedj>
This archive includes a html version of this
list distribution and its MS/WORD version with its filename as
Òmonth-date-year.doc.Ó You can also access all of its attachments, if
any.
Sander van der Leeuw <vanderle@asu.edu>
Johnanne Winchester <johnanne@netvoicemail.com>
Dear Prof. van der Leeuw:
(1) Recently, I read your following essay with great interest (ATTACHMENT
I);
ÒIncluding Humans in (Earth System) ModellingÓ
News Letter of International
Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP)
May, 2007, No. 69
<IGBP News Letter.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/2ncsch>
I fully agree with you that climatologists would need to mingle and talk with
sociologists and economists for solving our global environmental problems,
since such problems are often social confrontation-prone.
Incidentally,
a few years back, I suggested to the NASA scientist to interconnect their
computers which later resulted <NASAÕs Distributed Simulation copy.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/3xx5mw>;
Talking
among computers would be the first step anyway — contrary to what the
above article says, its task would usually be much easier than the one among
people, as your article clearly stated the difficulty of the latter. But,
thanks to the rapid advancements of ICTs, this difficulties can now be overcome
not only for the sake of coping with global environmental deterioration but
also for attaining global peace <Hans Blix, the chief inspector of UNMOVIC
copy.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/yw7fmh>.
(2) You may be interested in our following project;
Takeshi
Utsumi, GLOSAS/USA
"Globally Collaborative Environmental Peace Gaming (GCEPG)"
http://tinyurl.com/k2c7a
I have been quite aware of your contention so that we propose to have two
following systems in parallel as depicted in its Figure 8 <Globally
Collaborative Environmental Peace Gaming (GCEPG)_no background copy.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/23n68k>;
(a)
Globally Distributed Climate Simulation System,
(b) Globally Distributed Socio-Economic-Environmental Simulation System
Those two systems are to be interlinked each other.
(3) BTW, the above paper is the closing chapter of the Part IV of the following
book;
Global
Peace Through The Global University System
Tapio Varis - Takeshi Utsumi -
William Klemm (Eds.)
University of Tampere, Finland 2003
ISBN 951-44-5695-5
The entire contents of this book can be retrieved at;
http://tinyurl.com/kofpf
In
the bottom line of this page, you can find the following;
ÒInterview with Takeshi UtsumiÓ by Parker Rossman
http://tinyurl.com/fnxxt
The opening chapter of its Part II is;
Takeshi
Utsumi, P. Tapio Varis, and W. R. Klemm
"Creating Global University System"
http://tinyurl.com/sfgm7
(4) We are now initiating the Item (2)-(b) above with the following project;
Quantitative
Policy Analysis of Global Socio-Economic-Energy-Environment Development
(GSEEED)
Pls see its brief description in the Section VII-A of the following paper;
Al-Azab,
M. and T. Utsumi, (2007), "Creation of Global University System in
Egypt (GUS/Egypt)," Paper for
"ICT-Learn 2007" conference in Cairo, Egypt, September 2 to 4, 2007
http://preview.tinyurl.com/ypkaqo
And also see following list distributions;
(a)
(05/19/07) MOU between Polytechnic University and GLOSAS/USA
http://preview.tinyurl.com/ysw4gb
(b)
(08/02/07) (1) FUGI global modeling system (2) UNESCO EOLSS (Encyclopedia of
Life Support System)
http://preview.tinyurl.com/ywkmfc
(c)
(08/15/07) (1) American Telemedicine Association (ATA) Mid-year meeting in
Las Vegas on 9/17th/2007 and (2) GSEEED Project
http://preview.tinyurl.com/2u358u
(d)
(08/21/07) DRAFT: Grant application to Japan Foundation for GSEEED project
http://preview.tinyurl.com/22odrz
(e)
(08/26/07) Invitation to GSEEED project
http://preview.tinyurl.com/yso7oq
Dear Johnanne:
(5) Many thanks for your msg (ATTACHMENT II).
I greatly appreciate to hear of your mentioning the value of the ÒEconomic
Modeling.Ó Followings are a few of slides I often use for your reference;
(a)
<Modeling, Simulation and
Gaming_no background.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/2lj4gx>;
(b)
<Three Modes of Simulation_no background><http://preview.tinyurl.com/2rwmb>;
(c)
<Advantages of Distributed
Simulation_no background copy.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/2v2qej>;
Such distributed simulation can be done with the
so-called GRID technology, which interlinks clusters of computers around the
world, which concept I initiated in early 1970s <Initiation of GRID
Concept_no background copy.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/3dx6y7>;
(6) I have read your Executive Summary of ÒPlanet
Earth RoundtableÓ for the United Nations International Year of Planet earth
(IYPE) with great interest
<Planet_Earth_Roundtable_ExS_7-1_Rev-JF--MS_Word[1] copy.pdf><>,
<http://www.yearofplanetearth.org>
and <http://www.onegeology.org>.
The GSEEED project mentioned in the Item (4) above is to deal with the
following four components <4
E Components of Globally Collaborative Environmental Peace Gaming copy.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/2rlo9b>;
(7) We would greatly appreciate it if our peace
gaming with distributed simulation for distributed decision-support system
would be of a complementary to your projects, particularly with the ample
databases of the One Geology project, which would be very valuable assets to
our colleague simulationists.
As mentioned in Section VII of our paper in Item (4) above, our GSEEED project
will construct Globally Distributed Socio-Economic-Environmental Simulation
System through broadband Internet, which will have following two tier system:
a.
One for training young would-be decision makers in crisis management, conflict
resolution, and negotiation techniques basing on "facts and figures"
and
b. The other for helping decision makers construct a globally distributed
decision-support system for positive sum/win-win alternatives to conflict and
war.
I would especially hope that you would be interested in the former possibility
of our project — for the sake of attaining global peace in the future.
Keep in touch.
Best, Tak
ATTACHMENT I
International
Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP)
News Letter
May, 2007, No. 69
Guest Editorial
Including Humans in (Earth System) Modelling
In these days of rapid global environmental change, we are indebted to the
natural and life sciences to have clearly and persistently made the case since
the 1990's that if we do not 'do something', our Earth system will soon change
so dramatically that we may no longer recognise it. As a result, many
individuals, but also (some) governments and a number of important
corporations, are realising that something has to be done, and that it can be
done without major threat to our way of life -- if we do it now.
We also think we know how to combat some of the
phenomena involved: for example, the greenhouse gas emissions that are
transforming our climate, and future water shortages. But these solutions, even
if we can implement them, do no more than deal with external manifestations of
much more deeply rooted causes.
These causes may at first seem 'environmental', but
upon reflection, we as humans define: (1) what our environment is, (2) what our
environmental problems are, (3) what we think are the solutions to these
problems. And then (4) we try and implement these solutions. We cannot escape
the conclusion that the apparently
environmental problems are in reality socioenvironmental problems,
born out of the interaction between our societies and their environments. The
reason for including humans in Earth system modelling, therefore, is neither
more nor less than that without understanding our societies we cannot even
begin to solve our 'environmental' problems.
Until recently, that was where many efforts were
stymied, there were not many social scientists interested in environmental
matters, and when they were they saw them so differently, and spoke such a
different language, that working with natural and life scientists was often
doomed to failure. That situation, however, is changing rapidly. The increase
in attendance at the IHDP Open Science Meetings, as well as changes in strategy
among the funding agencies, many more 'environment' sessions at national and
international social science meetings, etc., all testify to a growing readiness
on the part of the social sciences to be involved.
Modelling is a very good starting point for trans‑disciplinary
activities. They focus the mind, are powerful tools to help us understand
complex dynamical relationships, are easily modified and poly‑interpretable,
but can be made sufficiently realistic to correct our thinking about the
phenomena at hand. Yet they differ from reality in the sense that experimenting
with them has no consequences in real life.
In recent years, modelling has spread widely beyond
economics into the other social sciences. Models of human‑environmental
interaction abound at different spatial and temporal scales; other models
explore decision making under uncertainty in the management of large‑scale
irrigation systems; yet others the role of institutions managing common pool
resources.
Several such models were presented at the Earth Systems
Science Partnership's first Open Science conference in Beijing, last November,
in a very successful session. It seems therefore that the first steps are being
taken in meeting the challenge of including humans in Earth systems modelling.
But it is quite a challenge!
Sander van der Leeuw
Arizona State University, USA
E‑mail: vanderle@asu.edu
ATTACHMENT II
From:
johnanne winchester
<johnannewin@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 31 Aug 2007 18:01:23
-0400
To: "Takeshi Utsumi,
Ph.D." <utsumi@columbia.edu>, Robert Nagel
<Robert@robertnagel.org>
Subject: International Year of
Planet Earth follow up
Dear
Takeshi,
It was a pleasure, as always, speaking with you again.
I continue to be delighted at how each of us in our personal and professional
capacity is "Working from the same Blueprint".
I am especially encouraged by your mention of the Economic modelling, as I do
feel that is the tipping point for everything in terms of human evolution and
Planetary interests.
In seeking large and enlightened communications platforms and individual
contact entry point relationships to further the goals of the evolution of
human consciousness towards a World Culture of Peace and Universal Sustainable
Prosperity, I have encountered the United Nations International Year of Planet
Earth, the "IYPE".
Please see www.yearofplanetearth.org <http://www.yearofplanetearth.org>
I am listed on the Development Committee.
In addition, the "Transparent Earth" companion site
www.onegeology.org <http://www.onegeology.org>
is what I believe will be "Planet Earth, Inc.", the true next
step in mapping the Earth's resources and working in a transparent way,
discovering how best to steward the universal commons in a new Economic model.
The One Geology component can become the resource productivity based modelling
of Human Sustainable Development in Harmony with the Wealth of Nature, the
actual life cycle science of the way Nature produces Wealth.
Please see also the attached DRAFT Executive Summary of the Planet Earth
Roundtable Media proposal, designed to be a flagship out reach program for the
IYPE.
I have not yet added the "Game "component, though it is planned as a
Peace/science and cross cultural/cross disciplinary participatory educational
platform for children of all ages.
I look forward to your feedback, and the opportunity to further network our
Networks for a World Culture of Peace on Planet Earth.
Respectfully,
Johnanne 646-460-2876 mobile.
--
Johnanne Winchester
Vice President of International Alliances
Communications Coordination Committee for the United Nations
USA 212-969-0111
China mob.# 86-136-5104-3267
List of
Distribution
Sander van der Leeuw
Mail Code 2402
Anthropology Building (ANTH), Room 233
Arizona State University, USA
(480)
965-6215
vanderle@asu.edu
Johnanne Winchester
Director
Communications Coordination
Committee for the United Nations
301 East 45th street,
New York, NY 10017
Tel: 212‑983‑3353
Messages: 212-969-0111
Fax: 212‑573‑8362
Mobile: 917‑257‑5476
646-460-2576
E-mail: johnanne@netvoicemail.com
http://www.ccc-un.org/
*******************************************************************************
* Takeshi Utsumi, Ph.D., P.E., Chairman, GLOSAS/USA
*
* (GLObal Systems Analysis and Simulation Association in the U.S.A.)
*
* Laureate of Lord Perry Award for Excellence in Distance Education
*
* Founder and V.P. for Technology and Coordination of
*
* Global University System (GUS)
*
* 43-23 Colden Street, Flushing, NY 11355-5913, U.S.A.
*
* Tel: 718-939-0928; Email: utsumi@columbia.edu
*
* http://www.itu.int/wsis/goldenbook/search/display.asp?Quest=8032562&lang=en
*
* http://www.friends-partners.org/GLOSAS/
*
* Tax Exempt ID: 11-2999676
*
*******************************************************************************