<<August 26, 2007>>
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Yaman Barlas, Ph.D.
Professor, Industrial Engineering Dept.
Bogazici University
34342 Bebek, Istanbul, TURKEY
Tel. +90-212-359 7073
Fax. +90-212-265 1800
ybarlas@boun.edu.tr
http://www.ie.boun.edu.tr/~barlas
SESDYN Group: http://www.ie.boun.edu.tr/labs/sesdyn/
Prof. Dr. Ali YAZICI
Chairman, Computer Engineering Department
TOBB UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS AND TECHNOLOGY
The Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey (TOBB)
Sšgutozu Cad. No: 43 06560
Sogutozu ‑ ANKARA – TURKEY
Tel: +90 (312) 292 4063 (Direct)
+90 (312) 292 4000 (Santral)
Fax: +90 (312) 292 4180
aliyazici@etu.edu.tr
http://www.etu.edu.tr/~aliyazici
Dear Prof. Barlas:
(1) I am writing this msg to you by the kind introduction of Prof. Yazici.
I am very delighted to hear of your strong interest in our Quantitative Policy
Analysis of Global Socio-Economic-Energy-Environment Development (GSEEED)
Project <http://preview.tinyurl.com/337nrn>.
It would be our great honor and privilege to have you in our project team.
(2) At this URL, you can find the draft copy of our grant application to have
the first planning workshop at Polytechnic University in Brooklyn, NY, which is
to be submitted to the Japan Foundation. We would like to have you at
this workshop, as soon as we confirm the grant.
Pls confirm my entry of your info in ANNEX I: List of Working Group Members,
which I took the liberty of having excerpted from your web site.
Pls also provide me with your letter of commitment — as similar to Prof.
YaziciÕs in ANNEX II.
(3) I have read your following article appeared in EOLSS encyclopedia <http://www.eolss.net/>, with great
interest;
SYSTEM DYNAMICS: SYSTEMIC FEEDBACK MODELING FOR POLICY
ANALYSIS
<http://preview.tinyurl.com/2z99mq>,
<Figure 1.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/26bcqt>,
<Figure 2.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/2fh3mr>,
<Figure 3.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/24xq8e>,
<Figure 4.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/yp2tch>,
<Figure 5.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/2yjzb3>,
<Figure 6.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/27pqga>,
<Figure 7.pdf><http://preview.tinyurl.com/ywck4h>
This is an excellent write-up about the basic principles of the System
Dynamics, which will be the main methodology of our GSEEED project.
Dear E-Colleagues:
I strongly suggest to read this article through.
(4) The system dynamics' cause-and-effect analysis based on feedback theory,
along with computer simulation modeling, is the best tool to understand the
inter-relatedness and inter-dependency of various complex world phenomena
— especially suitable for analysis of large-scale, confrontation-prone
global problems. Prof. Forrester once said that the value of System Dynamics is
on this advantage of understanding inter-related and inter-dependent complex
world phenomena rather than its forecasting feature.
<http://preview.tinyurl.com/2g8o4x>
I took the liberty of excepting this diagram from your paper.
<http://preview.tinyurl.com/2bd89b>
Our approach is to have experts of those segments handle by themselves with
their computers and models (wherever they are), and connect them via Internet,
to have all of their computer act as if a single supercomputer. This
analogy is then to be extended to country basis — to become a GLOBAL
PEACE GAMING.
<http://preview.tinyurl.com/2xzrx7>
This could be Prof. Forrester dictating to his secretary about his World
Dynamics, which later became the ÒLimits to GrowthÓ of Dennis Meadows,
who made an interim report of his project at the 1971 Summer Computer
Simulation Conference (SCSC) in Boston -- about a half year prior to his
publication of the book.
(5) This GSEEED project will have
two-tier system:
- One for training young
would-be decision makers in crisis management, conflict resolution, and
negotiation techniques basing on "facts and figures" and
- The other for helping
decision makers construct a globally distributed decision-support system
for positive sum/win-win alternatives to conflict and war.
Our first phase will focus on the former, and we hope that our gaming scheme
would be applied to the high school education around the world.
We will create a virtual environment where youngsters around the world can get
together to make mutual understanding across continent, oceans and cultures, as
fostering creativity with hands-on experiential/constructive learning and
creation of new knowledge through the global GRID technology, which concept I
initiated — see;
McLeod, J., "Power (?) Grid!," Simulation in the
Service of Society, Simulation, September 2000
http://preview.tinyurl.com/22bl7v
Senator Fulbright once said;
ÒLearning together and working together are the first steps toward global
peace.Ó
(6) I am very delighted to know that you are the founding member of the System
Dynamics Society. I would then be very appreciated it if you can kindly
solicit interest of the society members for our GSEEED project, as looking
forward to the near future when we would proceed this first phase.
BTW, Prof. Jay W. Forrester, the originator of the System
Dynamics methodology, told me a few years ago that our peace gaming for
analyzing and solving confrontation-prone problems in global scale with
globally distributed simulation models would be the ÒenhancedÓ System Dynamics
— I was hooked with this methodology since I learned it from him almost
four decades ago at the Sloan School of Management at MIT.
(7) I am also very happy to know that you are a member of Society for Computer
Simulation, which I named, after I created their Summer Computer Simulation
Conference (SCSC), which I also named — I was its Program Chairman in
1970 (first SCSC in Denver), and General Chairman on 1971 (second SCSC in
Boston) — at that time I got inspired of our Peace Gaming — see its
details in the Chapter 1 of;
Takeshi Utsumi,
Draft of Proposed Book
"Electronic Global University System and Services"
http://preview.tinyurl.com/27ykrf
and
McLeod, J., "Preface,"
Mission Earth Track of 1998 Conference on Simulation Methods and Applications
(CSMA98), Theme: Parallel and Distributed Simulation, November 1-3, 1998,
Orlando, Florida
http://preview.tinyurl.com/yozkqb
and the first half of the following paper;
Takeshi Utsumi, GLOSAS/USA
"Globally Collaborative Environmental Peace Gaming (GCEPG)"
http://tinyurl.com/k2c7a
This is in the following book;
Global Peace Through The Global University System
Tapio Varis -
Takeshi Utsumi - William Klemm (Eds.)
University of Tampere, Finland 2003
ISBN 951-44-5695-5
The entire contents of this book can be retrieved at;
http://tinyurl.com/kofpf
In the bottom line of this page, you can find the
following;
ÒInterview with Takeshi UtsumiÓ by Parker Rossman
http://tinyurl.com/fnxxt
You can also find the following paper in the book;
Takeshi Utsumi, P. Tapio Varis, and W. R. Klemm
"Creating Global University System"
http://tinyurl.com/sfgm7
You may also be interested in the following paper as a current summary of our
GUS/GCEPG/GSEEED projects;
Al-Azab, M. and T. Utsumi, (2007), "Creation of
Global University System in Egypt (GUS/Egypt)," Paper for "ICT-Learn 2007"
conference in Cairo, Egypt, September 2 to 4, 2007
http://preview.tinyurl.com/ypkaqo
(8) We
would like to expect your supplying us with a simulation model of Turkey.
Pls feel free to contact me if you have any further questions.
I look forward to working with you on this exciting project.
Best, Tak
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* Takeshi Utsumi, Ph.D., P.E., Chairman, GLOSAS/USA
*
* (GLObal Systems Analysis and Simulation Association in the U.S.A.)
*
* Laureate of Lord Perry Award for Excellence in Distance Education
*
* Founder and V.P. for Technology and Coordination of
*
* Global University System (GUS)
*
* 43-23 Colden Street, Flushing, NY 11355-5913, U.S.A.
*
* Tel: 718-939-0928; Email: utsumi@columbia.edu
*
* http://www.itu.int/wsis/goldenbook/search/display.asp?Quest=8032562&lang=en
*
* http://www.friends-partners.org/GLOSAS/
*
* Tax Exempt ID: 11-2999676
*
*******************************************************************************