1 GSEEED Project:

1.1 Globally Collaborative Environmental Peace Gaming (GCEPG) Project:

The GCEPG is a computerized gaming/simulation with a globally distributed computer simulation system to help decision makers construct a globally distributed decision-support system for positive sum/win-win alternatives to conflict and war. The idea involves interconnecting experts in many countries via the global Internet to collaborate in the discovering of new solutions for world crises, such as the deteriorating ecology of our globe, and to explore new alternatives for a world order capable of addressing the problems and opportunities of an interdependent globe. Gaming/simulation is the best tool we have for understanding the world's problems and the solutions we propose for them. The understanding gained with scientific and rational analysis and critical thinking would be the basis of world peace, and hence ought to provide the basic principle of global education for peace.

The GCEPG, focusing on the issue of environment and sustainable development in developing countries, is also to train would-be decision makers in crisis management, conflict resolution, and negotiation techniques basing on "facts and figures" [Utsumi, 2003].

With global GRID computer networking technology and Beowulf mini-super computers of cluster computing technology, we plan to develop a socio-economic-environmental simulation system and a climate simulation system in parallel fashion, both of which are to be interconnected in global scale.

1.2 Global Socio-Economic-Energy-Environment Development (GSEEED Project:

The Global Socio-Economic-Energy-Environment Development (GSEEED Project is a variation of and the initiation of the GCEPG.

The Quantitative Policy Analysis of globally collaborative GSEEED Project with a globally distributed computer simulation system will focus on the sustainable development of socio-economic-energy-environment system in Japan, the US, China, Russia, Kazakhstan, and the other relevant countries. Researchers in those countries will construct their simulation models, which will be interconnected through broadband Internet to form Globally Distributed Socio-Economic-Energy-Environmental Simulation System.

The initial focus on energy security will be on the quantitative policy analysis of global interrelations and interdependencies among those countries with the deployment of gas pipeline from Tomsk, Siberia to China, and the construction of hydroelectric dam in the Republic of Altai, Siberia where there are five UNESCO World Heritage sites which draw increasing number of tourists (400,000) into small town of Gorno-Altaisk with only 9,000 residents. This gas pipeline will certainly affect socio-economic developments of Siberia, China, and hence the ones of Japan, the US, Europe and others. Japan will also increasingly depend on the energy (oil and gas) supply from Russia and uranium from Kazakhstan.

We would also like to make policy analysis of the followings -- as the extension of GLORIAD <http://www.gloriad.org/>;

a. Deployment of optical fiber line along with the gas-pipe line from Tomsk to China through Altai,

b. Deployment of optical fiber line along with the railroad from Novosibirsk to Almaty, Kazakhstan.

The GLORIAD (which was initiated by Dr. Greg Cole, one of close friends of Dr. Utsumi) is a very high speed broadband Internet (at 150 Mbps in 2006, and 622 Mbps in 2007, and soon to be at 2.5 Gbps), circling northern hemisphere. Japan will join with 1.3 Tbps in the spring of 2008.

The Japanese government brought a mission team of about 150 industrialists to Kazakhstan in the spring of 2007 to secure uranium for nuclear power plants in Japan. The Japanese government may be interested in this project of creating Global University System (GUS)/Kazakhstan, including the deployment of optical fiber line from Novosibirsk to Almaty, with the provision of their Official Development Assistance (ODA) fund.

This GSEEED Project will then demonstrate integrated and synergistic approach among grassroots, government, university, stakeholder, etc. Use of graphic info modeling/mapping and potential "gaming" on key issues and solutions will assist each group's ability for standardized data gathering and situational analyses, projecting out possible outcomes for more informed decision making and activities. It brings together most sophisticated university-based mathematical modeling techniques and experts and regular people who can then more easily see--at a glance--how issues and outcomes can impact and interact each other.

This project will train local experts for leadership development, in relation to strategic use of technologies and cooperation among stakeholders for more effective advocacy, informed policy, public understanding and participation and concrete community development.

This project will have two-tier system:

a. One for training young would-be decision makers in crisis management, conflict resolution, and negotiation techniques basing on "facts and figures" and

b. The other for helping decision makers construct a globally distributed decision-support system for positive sum/win-win alternatives to conflict and war.

In contrast to other projects with GRID technology, our GCEPG/GSEEED project is to devise asynchronous, interactive coordination of geographically dispersed, dissimilar simulation models of socio-economic-environmental system of participating countries, as taking into account of the following unavoidable conditions;

i. latency through narrow-band Internet,

ii. time differences among participating parties,

iii. head-scratching time.

This also has to take into consideration of the use of narrow bandwidth in developing countries.

The goal of our project is to enhance education with the use of distributed computer simulation system around the world. Dr. Utsumi is one of the Scientific Advisory Board members of the European Learning GRID Infrastructure (ELeGI) Project, which has already been funded by the European Commission with about USD 6 million. The ELeGI hopes to make this GCEPG/GSEEED project a powerful demonstration of their project, too.

This project will be centered at the Polytechnic University in Brooklyn. President Hultin of the Polytechnic University is a friend of former President Clinton and was a classmate at the Yale University Law School, and the former Under Secretary of the US Navy. He conducted several war gaming for terrorists attack, and thereby, he is very much interested in this “peace gaming” project, which term Dr. Utsumi coined almost three decades ago. Incidentally, war gaming is to win the war once when it happened, and peace gaming is to avoid the occurrence of war. President Hultin said that avoiding war is much cheaper than waging war.

2 Workshops:

2.1 Series of Workshops:

We plan to hold a series of workshops in various countries of participants for smooth coordination and operation of this multi-lateral, multi-year project. The very first one is to be held at the Polytechnic University in Brooklyn, NY, with the fund from the Japan Foundation and others.

About 6 months or so later of this preliminary workshop, we would like to have next workshop at the Novosibirsk State Technological University in Siberia, and our American and other countries’ colleagues are to be invited to discuss with local people in details.

Workshops in China, Japan and other participating countries will then be held with appropriate time intervals.

2.2 First Planning Workshop:

2.2.1 Venue:

Polytechnic University, Brooklyn, New York

2.2.2 Date:

One month after funding is secured.

2.2.3 Tentative Schedules:

Date	AM	PM
1st day	1. Greetings by President Jerry Hultin 2. Presentations on GCEPG/GSEEED and GUS Projects by Dr. Takeshi Utsumi	1. Presentation on FUGI model by Prof. Akira Onishi 2. Presentation on models of Siberia and Russia by Drs. Tatiana S. Novikova and Prof. Victor I. Suslov
2nd day	1. Presentation of US model by Dr. Hans Rudolf Herren 2. Presentation of China model by Prof. Song Yaowu 3. Presentation of Europe model by Drs. Dorien de Tombe	Roundtable discussions on; 1. Formation of task forces 2. Planning on database construction 3. Project administration 4. Next workshop 5. Fund raising (To be presided by Dr. Takeshi Utsumi and Prof. Ralph C. Huntsinger.)
3rd day	Continuation of discussions (To be presided by Dr. Takeshi Utsumi and Prof. Harold Sjursen.)	Boat cruse around Manhattan
Note: one more day may be necessary.

2.2.4 Objectives:

Following subjects will be discussed in details as much as possible;

a. To have descriptions of selected simulation models of various methodologies – see below:

b. To plan designing databases through which pertinent info will be interchanged among participating simulation models – even by narrow band Internet:

c. To plan organization and management of this Project:

d. To build comradeship among participants:

e. To plan fund raising for further development:

· Prof. Akira Onishi is the expert on Item 1-a (Onishi, 2007);

· Dr. Hans Herren and his group at the Millennium Institute are experts on Item 1-b, which has national system dynamics models of Bangladesh, China, Ghana, Guyana, Italy, Malawi, Somaliland, Tunisia, and the United States,

· Dr. Tatiana Novikova and Prof. Victor Suslov in Novosibirsk, Siberia are quite familiar with Item 2-a.

3 Participating Organizations and Individuals:

See Annex I.

Participants will be connected through Internet via text, audio-, and video-conferencings.

4 Dissemination:

Our projects focus on the content delivery through broadband Internet (satellite, terrestrial, wireless, etc.) for eradication of poverty and isolation in remote/rural areas of developing countries, particularly on the intercultural mutual understanding for attaining global peace.

This is to construct information and knowledge societies, and to bridge the knowledge and digital gap that exists between developed and developing countries, as promoting free exchange of ideas and knowledge; to maintain, increase and disseminate knowledge through our work in education, the sciences, culture and communication.

The results of this project will be disseminated throughout the community of participating countries to add to the general body of knowledge or methodology in dealing with the global warming by the following procedures; (a) Through the design of socio-economic-energy-environment problem and solutions framework, into the nation’s education curricula and system, (b) Through the electronic media, and (c) Presentations at relevant conferences and in journals. The success of the workshops mentioned above will also be publicized over the Internet and with hard copy press release to attract further support from other contributors.

As an extension of our GCEPG/GSEEED projects, we will foster creativity of youngsters around the world. Researchers in developing countries can co-work with colleagues in advanced countries to perform joint collaborative research with use of virtual laboratories for experiential/constructive learning and creation of knowledge through the global GRID technology, thus forming Globally Collaborative Innovation Network (GCIN) [Utsumi, 2006].

5 Status of Preparation:

5.1 GLOSAS/USA:

The GLObal Systems Analysis and Simulation Association in the U.S.A. (GLOSAS/USA) is a publicly supported, non-profit, educational service organization and is a consortium of organizations dedicated to the use of evolving telecommunications and information technologies to further advance world peace through global communications. GLOSAS fosters science and technology based economic development to improve the quality of life.

Over the past three decades Dr. Utsumi’s GLOSAS/USA played a major pioneering role in extending U.S. data communication networks to other countries and deregulating Japanese telecommunication policies for the use of e-mail (thanks to help from the Late Commerce Secretary Malcolm Baldridge ) [Chapter 1 of Utsumi’s Proposed Book]. This triggered the de-monopolization and privatization of Japanese telecommunications industries. This movement has later been emulated in many other countries, as having more than one billion email users around the world nowadays. This effort was to establish later a Globally Collaborative Environmental Peace Gaming (GCEPG) (which was initiated by GLOSAS/USA in early 1970s [Utsumi, 2003]) with globally distributed computer simulation system through global neural computer network (*). His effort helped in extending American and other countries' university courses to under-served developing countries.

(*) In 1981, Dr. Utsumi coined the phrase "Global Neural Computer Network" in which each participating game player, with his/her own computer, database and sub-model, would correspond to a neuron, router to synapses, with the Internet serving as nerves in a global brain. Vice President Al Gore used this term in a speech (as the result of one of his staffs at the White House received numerous e-mail messages from Dr. Utsumi’s list) and continued with the following words:

"The Department of Defense is investing well over $1 billion in the development and implementation of networked distributed interactive simulation. This technology, which allows dispersed learners to engage in collaborative problem solving activities in real time, is now ready for transfer to schools and workplaces outside of the defense sector."

[Speaking to communications industry leaders, January 11, 1994, Washington, D.C.]

For over a dozen years since 1986, we have organized and conducted once or twice a year a series of innovative distance teaching trials with multipoint-to-multipoint multimedia interactive videoconferences using hybrid delivery technologies, which often spanned the globe and came to be called the "Global Lecture Hall (GLH)" ^tm) [Chapter 2 of Utsumi’s Proposed Book] and [Utsumi, 2003].

Thanks to such efforts and for initiating global e-learning movement since early 1980s, Dr. Utsumi received the prestigious Lord Perry Award for Excellence in Distance Education in the fall of 1994 from Lord Perry, the founder of the U.K. Open University. The two-year senior recipient of the same award was Sir Arthur C. Clarke, the inventor of satellites.

5.2 Global University System (GUS):

GLOSAS/USA then initiated the project of creating Global University System (GUS) during the workshop held at the University of Tampere in August of 1999 with funds from the World Bank, the US National Science Foundation, British Council, etc.

GUS aims to build a higher level of humanity with mutual understanding across national and cultural boundaries for global peace [Varis, et al, 2003]. The mission of GUS is to help higher educational and healthcare institutions in remote/rural areas of developing countries to deploy broadband Internet in order for them to close the digital divide. These institutions also act as the knowledge center of their community for the eradication of poverty and isolation through the use of advanced Information and Communications Technologies (ICTs). Learners may take courses from different member universities, obtaining their degree from the GUS, thus freeing them from being confined to one academic culture of a single university or country. In a sense, this is creating a 21st century version of the Fulbright exchange program.

The GUS is a worldwide initiative to create advanced telecom infrastructure for accessing educational resources around the world. The aim is to achieve "education and healthcare for all," anywhere, anytime and at any pace. The GUS has group activities in the major regions of the globe with partnerships of higher learning and healthcare institutions. Those institutions affiliated with GUS will become members of GUS/UNESCO/UNITWIN Networking Chair Program located at the University of Tampere in Finland. We envision to interlink those members through broadband Private Virtual Network to conduct megavideoconferences as well as related research project, “Globally Collaborative Environmental Peace Gaming (GCEPG).”

Their students will be able to take their courses from member institutions around the world to receive a GUS degree. They will also form a global knowledge forum for the exchange of ideas, information, knowledge and joint research and development. The Global E-Learning Center at the University of Tampere in Finland acts as the headquarters of the GUS. The GUS program is a comprehensive and holistic approach to building smart communities in developing countries for e-learning and e-healthcare/telemedicine.

Dr. Utsumi helped the Japanese government pledge US$15 billion to close the digital divide in developing countries for the eradication of poverty and isolation during the Okinawa Summit in July of 2000. The Japanese government made another pledge of US$2 billion to aid education and healthcare in developing countries during the G8 Summit in Canada in June of 2002, and at the Environment Summit in Johannesburg, South Africa in September of 2002, respectively.

GUS projects will combine (1) the Japanese government's Official Development Assistance (ODA) funds and (2) Japanese electronic equipment (computers, tranceivers, dish antennas, etc.) with (a) the Internet technology and (b) content development of North America and Europe, to help underserved people in rural and remote areas of developing countries by closing the digital divide.

The officers of the GUS are: P. Tapio Varis, Ph.D., Acting President, (University of Tampere, former rector of the United Nations University of Peace in Costa Rica); Marco Antonio Dias, T.C.D., Vice President for Administration, (former director of Higher Education of UNESCO); Takeshi Utsumi, Ph.D., Founder and Vice President for Technology and Coordination, (Chairman of GLOSAS/USA). The trustee members are: Dr. Pekka Tarjanne, (former Director-General of the ITU) and Dr. Federico Mayor, (President of the Foundation for Culture of Peace and a former Director-General of the UNESCO). The special advisors are: David A. Johnson, Ph.D., (Professor Emeritus, University of Tennessee) and Fredric Michael Litto, Ph.D., (President of the Brazilian Association of Distance Education at the University of Sao Paulo), and Dr. Paul Lefrere (U.K. Open University).

6 Benchmarks:

A demonstration of global-scale peace-gaming was held at the conference on "Crisis Management and Conflict Resolution" by the World Future Society (WFS) in New York City, in July of 1986. It was one of the largest and perhaps most successful demonstrations of global gaming/simulation organized so far. The event was a global gaming simulation sessions on a crisis scenario involving the U.S.-Japan trade and economy issues. The multimedia teleconferencing sessions used voice, slow-scan TV, computer text and data, graphics, and a simulation model. Nearly 1,500 persons took part, in New York, Tokyo, Honolulu, and at the World's Fair in Vancouver, B.C. An echelon economist of the United Nations wrote a game scenario, and Professor Onishi in Tokyo supplied his FUGI model of the world economy, which is the world largest econometric model.

Noted U.S. economists (Professor Lester C. Thurow of M.I.T., Provost William Nordhaus of Yale, Mr. Keith Johnson of Townsend and Greenspan Company) were panelists of this event and electronically interconnected with Japanese counterparts for three days of computer-assisted negotiations. Several hypothetical policies were examined. One question raised by the President Emeritus of American Arbitration Association was the effect of raising military expenditures in Japan to the American level while lowering those of the U.S. to the present Japanese level. Simulation ran overnight predicted that the balance of trade would thus be even by the year 2000, with necessity of cooperation, rather than competition, by both countries in the future. This clearly indicated the cost and dilemma of American's nuclear umbrella protecting Japan's economic prosperity, thus threatening American's economic prosperity.

This event with combined use of inexpensive delivery systems afforded an opportunity to see how academic departments might become linked across national boundaries for the purpose of joint study, research and planetary problem-solving without expending high cost for satellite video. After this successful sessions, several former high ranking officers of the U.S./Japanese governmental agencies expressed their strong interest in a similar multi-media teleconferencing on a more regular basis to establish an early warning system of the both countries' ever-closely interwoven economic and trade relationships. Systems analysis for systemic change at the global level is a precondition for any significant resolution to today's global-scale problems, as has been advocated by our GLOSAS/USA projects since it was originated in 1972.

It was expected at that time that, in the near future, all the world’s politics and economies would use computer models to examine the implications of an action on each of them. We already see the beginning of such models, such as the FUGI simulation model of the world in Japan. This is equivalent to say ‘peace gaming’ on the scale of Pentagon’s ‘war games.’

This is because whatever is needed to end war as a way of solving crises will require large-scale research at universities in many countries that collaborate in peace gaming experiments and demonstrations. No one university, group or national government can do it alone. The effort to extend learning, healthcare and cooperative research possibilities to every corner of the planet “will require substantial collaborative contribution of ideas, expertise, technology, money and resources from multiple sources.” Our proposed globally collaborative environmental peace gaming system can become “an educational tool” for students in political science and international affairs. Moreover, such a system can provide motivation for and become a foundation pillar for a Global University System (GUS) that will not only provide better education for the youth of the planet, but that will also promote mutual understanding and peace.

Compared with dominance and exclusivity of analog telecom, Internet with digitized information enables sharing valuable telecom media, thus bringing drastic cost reduction – even a few pennies per minutes telephone calls around the world. In addition to this, now emerging GRID technology (which concept Dr. Utsumi initiated [McLeod, 2000] enables collaboration of youngsters for their creating new knowledge with the use of virtual reality and virtual laboratories in global scale. Our Global University System intends to fully extend those principles to achieve global peace.

During the US/Japan foreign trade peace gaming in 1986, we used Prof. Onishi’s FUGI as a single simulation model residing in a supercomputer in Tokyo and we asked him to execute his simulation model with the alternative policy parameters according to the progress of our gaming scenario, as mentioned above. However, this time, his FUGI's sub-models will be split and be dispersed to the countries where the sub-models belong. We will arrange GUS' to host the sub-models of their countries – along with construction and maintenance of its databases, revision and modification of their sub-models, and supply of game players in cooperation with their overseas counterparts through the global neural computer network.